The 2025 Canadian Open will proceed without the presence of the men’s Grand Slam champions Jannik Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz, and Novak Djokovic, all absent due to injury and fatigue. Their absence opens opportunities for other contenders, potentially leading to an unexpected tournament winner.
Alexei Popyrin, who captured his maiden Masters title at the 2024 Canadian Open by defeating Andrey Rublev in the final, will face a significant drop in ranking points. Popyrin earned 1000 ATP points from last year’s victory and currently sits at No. 26 with 2050 points. Without defending his title, he is projected to fall outside the top 50 but can regain points with each round he advances this year.
Jannik Sinner, currently world No. 1 with 12,030 points, reached the quarter-finals at last year’s Canadian Open, earning 200 points which he stands to lose due to non-participation in 2025. After the event, Sinner’s total will drop to approximately 11,830 points, maintaining a healthy lead over Alcaraz, who is second with 8,600 points. Alcaraz and Djokovic will not lose points this year, having not competed in the previous edition, while Jack Draper will lose 10 points due to a first-round exit last year.
Other notable absences include seeded players Tommy Paul (-50 points), Grigor Dimitrov (-100 points), and Alexander Bublik (-10 points).
Among active competitors, Alexander Zverev enters as the top seed. He earned 200 points by reaching the quarter-finals last year and will lose those points. Taylor Fritz, the second seed, will drop 50 points. However, the ranking calculations are complicated this year as points from the 2024 Washington DC Open (an ATP 250 event) will also roll off during the same period as the Canadian Open.
Ben Shelton, for example, earned 50 points at the 2024 Canadian Open but will lose a total of 250 points considering his semi-final run in the Washington DC Open. Andrey Rublev, the 2024 runner-up in Canada, faces a significant drop of 750 points combined from these two tournaments. Other seeded players losing points include Holger Rune (-100), Casper Ruud (-100), Frances Tiafoe (-200), Flavio Cobolli (-380), Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (-150), and Matteo Arnaldi (-400).