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Five editorial scenarios for the WTA Finals: who could lift the trophy in Riyadh

Five editors’ scenarios for the WTA Finals highlight Sabalenka, Gauff, Anisimova and two dark horses

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Editors offered five distinct scenarios for the season-ending WTA Finals, each built on the players’ recent form and rivalries.

Aryna Sabalenka is the clear focal point. She has been No. 1 for a year but has also dropped a number of big matches during that time. Sabalenka has appeared in one WTA Finals final, in 2022, which she lost to Caroline Garcia. She arrives having played just five matches since winning the US Open on September 6, a factor that raises questions about match sharpness. Sabalenka is placed in a group with Coco Gauff, Jessica Pegula and Jasmine Paolini; a title here would cement her year-end No. 1 standing, while anything less would leave doubts into 2026.

Coco Gauff remains a major contender. Gauff is the defending champion and recorded a 9-1 mark in October, including eight straight-set wins. Her late-season rhythm and willingness to tinker with her game were cited as reasons she could repeat.

Jasmine Paolini was highlighted as an underestimated threat. The narrative notes she returned after a breakthrough 2024 and built on it in 2025, beating Coco Gauff in Rome and delivering a decisive win over Iga Swiatek in Wuhan. Those wins raise the possibility she could advance out of the group stage.

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Elena Rybakina is described as the wild card. She carried a six-match win streak into the Finals and captured a title in Ningbo to secure the last spot in the field. Rybakina has not advanced past the Round of 16 at any major this year, but the indoor conditions suit her clean, powerful game.

Amanda Anisimova was presented as a dark-horse champion pick. Her Beijing run included a victory over Gauff in the semifinals; “Anisimova’s win in Beijing (in her last appearance before these finals) included a rout of Gauff, which will give the Roland Garros champion plenty to think about should they meet.” Iga Swiatek and others were also mentioned among the ones to watch across different editorial scenarios.

Davis Cup Finals Player News

Nadal returns to the slopes after 26 years for a family ski day at Baqueira Beret

Rafael Nadal returned to skiing after 26 years, sharing slopes and snow fun with his family on skis.

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Rafael Nadal spent time on skis this week for the first time in 26 years, sharing a winter outing with his wife Maria Francisca Perello and their 3-year-old son, Rafa Jr., at Baqueira Beret in the Catalan Pyrenees. The player behind the tennis academy that bears his name in Mallorca said the experience felt special after decades focused on managing an injury-prone body in his career. Nadal called it an “incredible feeling” to ski for the first time since his early teens.

During the trip he took a lesson guiding his eldest son and paused to build a snowman. An adorable video posted by Nadal showed little Rafa Jr. appearing at ease on the slopes, though Nadal indicated he would prefer professional guidance and invited suggestions on social media. “We’re still learning … any advice for us?” he asked, tagging American Olympic champion Lindsey Vonn.

Vonn replied, “We have to ski together when I’m healthy!” Vonn, 41, suffered a complex fracture of her tibia after a crash at the recently-concluded Milan-Cortina Winter Olympics and required three surgeries to correct the injury.

Nadal, 39, played the final match of his tennis career at the 2024 Davis Cup Finals after seasons affected by foot and hip injuries, the hip issue requiring surgery. He also underwent surgery in January for severe osteoarthritis in his right hand. Since stepping away from professional competition he has remained active, including time on the golf course with longtime rival Roger Federer and a practice session with academy alumna Alexandra Eala.

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Although the academy carries his name, Nadal has been noncommittal about coaching future champions on the court. For now, his winter trip made clear that other sports, and sharing those moments with his family, have an important place in his life after competitive tennis.

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250 Finals Player News

Townsend rallies past Masarova to reach first WTA singles semifinal

Taylor Townsend reached her first WTA singles semifinal in Austin, rallying past Masarova three sets

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Taylor Townsend reached a milestone in Austin, advancing to the first WTA singles semifinal of her career after a determined three-set comeback. Facing Rebeka Masarova in the quarterfinals of the WTA 250 hard-court event, Townsend recovered from a 5-7 first set to prevail 5-7, 6-2, 6-2.

The match began with Townsend racing to a 5-2 lead, only for Masarova, the 6’1″ Swiss, to reel off five games and claim the opening set. Townsend regrouped and did not lose serve again over the remainder of the encounter. She fought off all five break points she faced across the second and third sets and broke Masarova twice in each of those sets to turn the match in her favor. The contest lasted two hours and 20 minutes.

After the win, Townsend embraced her four-year-old son, Adyn, who had been watching from the stands.

Townsend’s singles breakthrough comes after two prior WTA quarterfinal appearances, both ending in tight two-set losses: Toronto in 2024 to Emma Navarro and Washington D.C. in 2025 to Leylah Fernandez. Those results had left the American searching for a deeper run; in Austin she delivered the first tour-level semifinal of her singles career.

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Her doubles record remains extensive. Townsend has 11 career WTA doubles titles, including two Grand Slam victories at Wimbledon in 2024 and the Australian Open in 2025. She also claimed two WTA 1000 doubles titles, Cincinnati in 2023 and Dubai in 2025. Last summer she rose to No. 1 in the WTA doubles rankings, becoming the first mom to reach the top spot in WTA doubles history.

Across her doubles career Townsend has reached the semifinal stage or better 31 times at tour-level events: 11 titles, eight additional finals and 12 further semifinals. That total includes reaching the doubles semifinals in Austin this week alongside Storm Hunter.

Now, in addition to that doubles pedigree, Townsend has added a new achievement — her first tour-level singles semifinal — a clear personal landmark in 2026.

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1000 Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships Finals

Pegula wins Dubai title, defeats Svitolina to claim 10th career trophy

Pegula beat Svitolina 6-2, 6-4 to win her 10th WTA title, fourth at WTA 1000 level, in Dubai today.

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“0 my friend. Dubai is pending.”

Those words from Jessica Pegula came after a social media post highlighted her steady results as she reached a seventh consecutive semifinal dating back to the 2025 US Open earlier this week. The Buffalo, N.Y. native had acknowledged the run had not produced the trophy she wanted. That changed on Saturday in the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships final.

After surviving two earlier matches that went the distance, Pegula produced a clearer performance in the title match, beating seventh-seeded Elina Svitolina 6-2, 6-4 in 63 minutes. The world No. 5 dropped serve only once and claimed 73 percent of her points at the line to close out the victory.

“It’s a great birthday present for me. Just super happy to go home with a trophy,” she said during the trophy presentation.

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Pegula, 31, who turns 32 on Tuesday, now has 10 career WTA titles. Four of those titles are at the WTA 1000 level, and this was her first 1000-level win away from North American hard courts. The 31-year-old has won 13 of 15 matches to open her 2026 season and remains on Coco Gauff’s heels to be the No. 1-ranked American.

Svitolina, seeded seventh in the event, likewise arrived at Dubai with strong form. She departs the tournament with a 15-3 start to the year that included a title in Auckland and three subsequent Top 10 victories.

“Unfortunately didn’t find the ways to put her off balance. I think she played a wonderful match,” the Ukrainian said in press. “She was striking the ball perfect. Played really solid match. ]

© 2026 Robert Prange

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