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United Cup 2026 preview: Why Czechia, Italy and Japan could unsettle the top seeds

US are favorites to defend United Cup; Czechia, Italy and Japan could disrupt the top seeds. 2026’s.

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The United States enter 2026 as the clear favorites to defend their title after Coco Gauff and Taylor Fritz led the Americans to a second United Cup trophy last year, finishing the event without a loss. The U.S. team, which returns with Mackenzie McDonald, Nicole Melichar-Martinez, Varvara Lepchenko and Christian Harrison, head into the season-opener as the top seeds.

Behind the favorites, No. 2 seed Canada and two-time finalist Poland remain threats, but three teams stand out as potential spoilers. Czechia, seeded No. 11 in Group D with hosts Australia and Norway, arrives with fresh faces in Jakub Mensik and Barbora Krejcikova. Mensik, 20, broke through in 2025 by winning his first ATP Masters 1000 title in Miami. Krejcikova, a first-time United Cup participant and newly-minted 30-year-old, brings all-court skills well suited to a format that values singles and mixed doubles. Her health is a question after she retired from two of her final three tournaments of 2025, but a fit Krejcikova matches up with the event’s top women, including Gauff, Swiatek, Belinda Bencic and Naomi Osaka.

Italy, the No. 3 seed, will look to translate momentum from last season’s national-team triumphs into United Cup success. Flavio Cobolli and Jasmine Paolini, Italy’s leading players, were key cogs in their country’s dramatic Davis Cup and Billie Jean King Cup victories last season, respectively. Italy competes in what may be the competition’s toughest round-robin bracket, Group C. The Perth-based group includes France and Switzerland. France is anchored by 2025 Roland Garros semifinalist Lois Boisson and late-season contributor Arthur Rindeknech. Switzerland counters with 2025’s Comeback Player of the Year Belinda Bencic and Stan Wawrinka, who hopes to start his final season on tour strongly.

Making its United Cup debut, Japan sits in the open Group E alongside Greece and Great Britain. Naomi Osaka is a first-time entrant for Japan, which fields just four players and lists ATP player No. 92 Shintaro Mochizuki, the 2019 junior Wimbledon winner. Greece again brings Maria Sakkari and Stefanos Tsitsipas, each coming off down 2025 seasons that saw them slip to No. 52 and No. 34 respectively. Great Britain suffered a late blow when Jack Draper announced he will miss the Australian swing while rehabbing bone bruising in his playing arm.

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Those dynamics set up a season opener where the United States are favorites, but Czechia, Italy and Japan each have legitimate paths to complicate the title defense.

Abierto Mexicano Telcel ATP ATP 500

Cobolli Downs Tiafoe to Claim Acapulco Title, Poised for Career-High No. 15

Cobolli beats Tiafoe 7-6(4), 6-4 to win Acapulco; third ATP title and a projected rise to No. 15 now

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Flavio Cobolli completed a remarkable week in Acapulco with a 7-6 (4), 6-4 victory over Frances Tiafoe to lift the ATP 500 trophy. The straight-sets scoreline belies a hard-fought encounter that lasted two hours and nine minutes, with the opening set alone running 70 minutes.

The win is Cobolli’s third ATP title and matches the biggest level of his previous triumphs. His first two tour-level trophies came last year, both on clay: Bucharest, an ATP 250, and Hamburg, an ATP 500. With the rankings update on Monday, he is projected to move from No. 20 to a new career-high of No. 15, surpassing his prior peak of No. 17.

Both finalists had dramatic semifinal nights. Cobolli rallied from 3-1 down in the deciding set to beat Miomir Kecmanovic, 7-6 (5), 3-6, 6-4. Tiafoe survived an all-American duel with Brandon Nakashima, 3-6, 7-6 (6), 6-4, after Nakashima served for the match at 6-5 in the second set and then came within two points of victory at 6-all in the tiebreak.

In the final Tiafoe threatened early, holding a 3-1 advantage in the first-set tiebreak before Cobolli edged the set. Tiafoe rallied again in the second, breaking back to level at 4-all, but Cobolli closed the match by winning eight of the final 10 points, breaking for 5-4 and sealing the title with an ace, his 10th of the match.

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The result also carries historical notes. At 23, Cobolli is the youngest champion in Acapulco since a 22-year-old Dominic Thiem won in 2016. He is the first Italian to capture an ATP title this year and, as the nation’s No. 3, will join countrymen Jannik Sinner and Lorenzo Musetti, currently ranked No. 2 and No. 5, in the Top 15.

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ATP BNP Paribas Open Masters

Bouchard: Indian Wells an ideal stage for Ben Shelton to carry U.S. hopes

Bouchard backs Ben Shelton as top U.S. hope at Indian Wells amid Paul and Fritz challenges this week

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The 2026 BNP Paribas Open arrives with main-draw action beginning Wednesday, March 4, and American men figure prominently in the conversation at Tennis Paradise. Eugenie Bouchard singles out a compact group of U.S. contenders and places Ben Shelton at the center of expectations.

Ben Shelton. His game has shown clear evolution and he often lifts his level at the biggest events. With Indian Wells regarded as the premier U.S. tournament after the US Open, the setting feels appropriate for Shelton, who already won a first Masters 1000 title in Canada last summer.

Tommy Paul. After a 2025 season hampered by injury, Paul appears to have recovered and has produced a strong start to 2026. His Delray Beach win over Taylor Fritz—the only American man to win Indian Wells since Andre Agassi in 2001—was certainly a statement about his readiness to return to the Top 10 and beyond. Back to full health in Australia, he played great to reach the second week and gave Carlos Alcaraz all he could handle over three close sets in the fourth round. If he stays healthy and consistent, Paul could be the most dangerous American in the draw.

Taylor Fritz. Local support and familiarity with the event add weight to his prospects. “Total transparency: how can i go against my man in his hometown tournament? A tournament he’s the only one of his countrymen to have won before, no less.” That hometown element and previous success at the event create a compelling backdrop for his campaign.

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Indian Wells will demand serve, return and stamina across large courts and long days. Between Shelton’s upward trajectory, Paul’s return to form and Fritz’s home-court narrative, the U.S. contingent arrives with several credible candidates to produce the best American result as the Sunshine Swing begins.

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ATP ATP 500 Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships

Medvedev awarded Dubai crown after Griekspoor withdrawal amid tense regional events

Medvedev awarded Dubai title after Griekspoor withdrawal amid injury and regional conflict. upheaval

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Daniil Medvedev was declared champion at the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships after Tallon Griekspoor withdrew from the final with a left hamstring injury, handing Medvedev a walkover just hours before the United Arab Emirates shut its airspace.

The No. 3 seed and former Dubai champion received the trophy amid an unusual and tense championship Saturday. The walkover gave Medvedev his second ATP title of the year. “Not how I want to win a final,” he wrote. “Hoping the injury for (Tallon) is not too bad and wishing him a speedy recovery.”

Griekspoor hurt his left hamstring in Friday’s semifinal against Andrey Rublev but managed to win 7-5, 7-6 (6) despite the pain. He told those gathered at the trophy ceremony: “I went to the hospital this morning and had a couple of scans, which showed something serious,” and added, “It kept me from coming on court tonight and will keep me from the court in the coming weeks.”

For Medvedev, it was the first time in his career that he has repeated a title in the same city. Previously he had amassed 26 career titles at 26 different tournaments. “That’s what’s crazy!” he said. “I never did it in any city in the world, and the first time I do it, it’s with a walkover…”

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He reflected on his week on court: “We knew before the start of the week, the way I was practicing, I couldn’t miss a ball. We knew it was going to be a great week. It was a great week and I’m looking forward to the next tournaments to come.”

The tournament was overshadowed by regional conflict that led to nearby strikes and retaliatory attacks, including a reported missile strike on the Palm Jumeirah Fairmont Hotel. Flight cancellations followed and departures from Dubai International Airport were suspended as a precaution. The tournament venue sits less than five minutes from the airport, a proximity that likely eased departures once travel resumed.

The men’s doubles final proceeded earlier, with No. 3 seeds Harri Heliovaara and Henry Patten defeating No. 2 seeds Mate Pavic and Marcelo Arevalo 7-5, 7-5 on Center Court.

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