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ATP Australian Open Grand Slam

Quarterfinal curse looms over Rublev and de Minaur at Australian Open

Quarterfinal barrier haunts Andrey Rublev and Alex de Minaur at the Australian Open draw. Can it end

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When the Australian Open men’s singles draw is released, attention will settle on the placements of Andrey Rublev and Alex de Minaur. Both are regular second-week competitors at majors, yet neither has reached a Grand Slam semifinal. That persistent barrier has become a defining storyline for each.

Rublev reached the fourth round of the 2024 Australian Open to face de Minaur; he won that five-set match but then fell in the quarterfinals to Jannik Sinner. That loss became Rublev’s 10th unsuccessful quarterfinal appearance, a sequence that began with his run as a 19-year-old at the 2017 US Open. The 28-year-old Russian has not gone deeper since and has seen his ranking drop to No. 16.

De Minaur, a hometown favorite, has now bowed out at six major quarterfinals without advancing. His first quarterfinal was at the US Open in 2020; his most recent came at the 2025 US Open where he lost to Felix Auger-Aliassime. The 27-year-old is currently ranked No. 7 and has resisted framing these results as a limit, calling the 2025 loss a “wasted opportunity,” and insisting he does not see Grand Slam quarterfinals as his “glass ceiling.”

Rublev has been more open about the emotional toll. “I wanted it so badly that I couldn’t handle the pressure during the matches,” he said following his most recent 2024 setback. “I was not really playing, I was completely tight and full of negative emotions that, in the end, it was not even giving me chances to win a match. … I lost [all] those [quarterfinal] matches because of myself.”

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The quarterfinal round is a proving ground where luck is diminished and top-level consistency is required. History offers many who never cleared the last eight, including Tommy Robredo and Carla Suarez Navarro, each with seven quarterfinals and no semifinals, and others such as Nicolas Almagro and Feliciano Lopez.

Some players eventually break the spell. Taylor Fritz lost his first four quarterfinals before winning one at the 2024 US Open. He reflected: “To someone like Novak, the quarterfinals is the same. It holds the same weight as the second round, the third round, whatever. It’s just common—you’re used to it. Before, being in the quarterfinals was like a ‘Wow! I’m in the quarterfinals’ moment. But after a while, being deep in a Slam becomes more of a dull feeling, so you can just treat it much more like any other match.”

Jessica Pegula, who was 0-6 in quarterfinals before finally making a major semifinal, has described the process as part of assembling a larger picture rather than finding a single missing piece. “There’s not, like, a clear answer for everything, or something to make me say, ‘Now, if I do this, for sure I’m going to win a Grand Slam, make the semis, make finals.’ There’s nothing like that.”

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Abierto Mexicano Telcel ATP ATP 500

Cobolli Downs Tiafoe to Claim Acapulco Title, Poised for Career-High No. 15

Cobolli beats Tiafoe 7-6(4), 6-4 to win Acapulco; third ATP title and a projected rise to No. 15 now

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Flavio Cobolli completed a remarkable week in Acapulco with a 7-6 (4), 6-4 victory over Frances Tiafoe to lift the ATP 500 trophy. The straight-sets scoreline belies a hard-fought encounter that lasted two hours and nine minutes, with the opening set alone running 70 minutes.

The win is Cobolli’s third ATP title and matches the biggest level of his previous triumphs. His first two tour-level trophies came last year, both on clay: Bucharest, an ATP 250, and Hamburg, an ATP 500. With the rankings update on Monday, he is projected to move from No. 20 to a new career-high of No. 15, surpassing his prior peak of No. 17.

Both finalists had dramatic semifinal nights. Cobolli rallied from 3-1 down in the deciding set to beat Miomir Kecmanovic, 7-6 (5), 3-6, 6-4. Tiafoe survived an all-American duel with Brandon Nakashima, 3-6, 7-6 (6), 6-4, after Nakashima served for the match at 6-5 in the second set and then came within two points of victory at 6-all in the tiebreak.

In the final Tiafoe threatened early, holding a 3-1 advantage in the first-set tiebreak before Cobolli edged the set. Tiafoe rallied again in the second, breaking back to level at 4-all, but Cobolli closed the match by winning eight of the final 10 points, breaking for 5-4 and sealing the title with an ace, his 10th of the match.

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The result also carries historical notes. At 23, Cobolli is the youngest champion in Acapulco since a 22-year-old Dominic Thiem won in 2016. He is the first Italian to capture an ATP title this year and, as the nation’s No. 3, will join countrymen Jannik Sinner and Lorenzo Musetti, currently ranked No. 2 and No. 5, in the Top 15.

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ATP BNP Paribas Open Masters

Bouchard: Indian Wells an ideal stage for Ben Shelton to carry U.S. hopes

Bouchard backs Ben Shelton as top U.S. hope at Indian Wells amid Paul and Fritz challenges this week

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The 2026 BNP Paribas Open arrives with main-draw action beginning Wednesday, March 4, and American men figure prominently in the conversation at Tennis Paradise. Eugenie Bouchard singles out a compact group of U.S. contenders and places Ben Shelton at the center of expectations.

Ben Shelton. His game has shown clear evolution and he often lifts his level at the biggest events. With Indian Wells regarded as the premier U.S. tournament after the US Open, the setting feels appropriate for Shelton, who already won a first Masters 1000 title in Canada last summer.

Tommy Paul. After a 2025 season hampered by injury, Paul appears to have recovered and has produced a strong start to 2026. His Delray Beach win over Taylor Fritz—the only American man to win Indian Wells since Andre Agassi in 2001—was certainly a statement about his readiness to return to the Top 10 and beyond. Back to full health in Australia, he played great to reach the second week and gave Carlos Alcaraz all he could handle over three close sets in the fourth round. If he stays healthy and consistent, Paul could be the most dangerous American in the draw.

Taylor Fritz. Local support and familiarity with the event add weight to his prospects. “Total transparency: how can i go against my man in his hometown tournament? A tournament he’s the only one of his countrymen to have won before, no less.” That hometown element and previous success at the event create a compelling backdrop for his campaign.

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Indian Wells will demand serve, return and stamina across large courts and long days. Between Shelton’s upward trajectory, Paul’s return to form and Fritz’s home-court narrative, the U.S. contingent arrives with several credible candidates to produce the best American result as the Sunshine Swing begins.

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ATP ATP 500 Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships

Medvedev awarded Dubai crown after Griekspoor withdrawal amid tense regional events

Medvedev awarded Dubai title after Griekspoor withdrawal amid injury and regional conflict. upheaval

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Daniil Medvedev was declared champion at the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships after Tallon Griekspoor withdrew from the final with a left hamstring injury, handing Medvedev a walkover just hours before the United Arab Emirates shut its airspace.

The No. 3 seed and former Dubai champion received the trophy amid an unusual and tense championship Saturday. The walkover gave Medvedev his second ATP title of the year. “Not how I want to win a final,” he wrote. “Hoping the injury for (Tallon) is not too bad and wishing him a speedy recovery.”

Griekspoor hurt his left hamstring in Friday’s semifinal against Andrey Rublev but managed to win 7-5, 7-6 (6) despite the pain. He told those gathered at the trophy ceremony: “I went to the hospital this morning and had a couple of scans, which showed something serious,” and added, “It kept me from coming on court tonight and will keep me from the court in the coming weeks.”

For Medvedev, it was the first time in his career that he has repeated a title in the same city. Previously he had amassed 26 career titles at 26 different tournaments. “That’s what’s crazy!” he said. “I never did it in any city in the world, and the first time I do it, it’s with a walkover…”

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He reflected on his week on court: “We knew before the start of the week, the way I was practicing, I couldn’t miss a ball. We knew it was going to be a great week. It was a great week and I’m looking forward to the next tournaments to come.”

The tournament was overshadowed by regional conflict that led to nearby strikes and retaliatory attacks, including a reported missile strike on the Palm Jumeirah Fairmont Hotel. Flight cancellations followed and departures from Dubai International Airport were suspended as a precaution. The tournament venue sits less than five minutes from the airport, a proximity that likely eased departures once travel resumed.

The men’s doubles final proceeded earlier, with No. 3 seeds Harri Heliovaara and Henry Patten defeating No. 2 seeds Mate Pavic and Marcelo Arevalo 7-5, 7-5 on Center Court.

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