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ATP Australian Open Grand Slam

Expert Picks: Who Will Lift the 2026 Australian Open Crowns

Experts favor Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka at the Australian Open; several dark horses lurk…

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Across a series of expert ballots for the 2026 Australian Open, two names dominate the conversation. Jannik Sinner is the most frequent selection on the men’s side, while Aryna Sabalenka is the repeat choice among predictions for the women.

Sinner appears as the consensus favorite in many projections, with other men’s selections including Daniil Medvedev, Alexander Zverev, Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Bublik. Several pundits flagged Medvedev as a likely finalist, noting he has already captured a title in 2026 and looks to be in form. One contributor framed the current gap at the top by observing that the 1000th-ranked man is closer to Alexander Zverev at No. 3 than Zverev is to Sinner at No. 2.

On the women’s side, Sabalenka is repeatedly chosen to win, with Amanda Anisimova, Elena Rybakina and Mirra Andreeva also named as potential finalists. Sabalenka’s recent hard-court results in Australia and an early-season title in Brisbane figure prominently in predictions. Naomi Osaka is noted as a former two-time Melbourne champion who nearly reignited a comeback in a Grand Slam match last year.

Dark-horse candidates were plentiful in the ballots. Joao Fonseca drew attention as a first-time seeded major player who withdrew from warm-up events and could make his maiden second-week run if healthy. Belinda Bencic was singled out after returning to the Top 10 and going undefeated in singles at the United Cup. Jakub Mensik, age 20, arrives off an Auckland title described as his first ATP crown since 2025 Miami. Karolina Muchova’s Brisbane semifinal and new coach Sven Groenefeld were also cited. Others mentioned as outsiders include Valentin Vacherot, Iva Jovic, Frances Tiafoe, Victoria Mboko, Learner Tien, Alexander Bublik and Marta Kostyuk.

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The collection of picks underlines a familiar theme: a settled favorite at the top of both draws and a long list of players capable of producing the surprise run that makes the Australian Open unpredictable.

500 ATP Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell

Fils rallies past Rafael Jodar in Barcelona semis to reach 100 career wins

Arthur Fils rallied from a set down to defeat Rafael Jodar in Barcelona semis, his 100th career win.

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Arthur Fils overcame a set deficit to defeat Rafael Jodar in the semifinals of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell, winning 3-6, 6-3, 6-2. The victory marked multiple milestones in a single match for the 21-year-old Frenchman.

Fils erased the early advantage Jodar established when the Spanish teenager took the first set. He recovered by taking the second set 6-3 and then closed out the match 6-2 in the decider. The win ended Jodar’s eight-match winning streak that began with his first ATP title in Marrakech last week and continued with three more wins in Barcelona.

Jodar had also been riding a run of set dominance, having won 13 sets in a row before Fils rallied to halt that sequence. That combination of recent form and momentum made Fils’ comeback more significant.

Most notably, the win was the 100th tour-level victory of Fils’ career. At 21 years old, he became the first man born in 2004 or later to reach 100 tour-level wins. The result advances Fils to the Barcelona final and leaves Jodar’s surge halted at the semifinal stage.

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The match underlined Fils’ capacity to close out big moments against an in-form opponent and provided a notable career landmark in the 2026 season. His progression through an ATP 500 event and the accumulation of 100 tour-level wins underline the trajectory he has followed in recent seasons.

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ATP ATP 500 Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell

Rafael Jodar’s breakout: 19-year-old storms into Barcelona semifinals

Jodar, 19, beat Cam Norrie 6-3, 6-2 to reach Barcelona semis; his backhand and poise stood out. now.

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Rafael Jodar, a 19-year-old from Madrid, announced himself as a genuine challenger on clay with a composed, powerful win that sent him into the Barcelona semifinals. The son and grandson who share his name has moved rapidly through the pro ranks this spring.

Jodar beat former Top 10 player Cam Norrie 6-3, 6-2 in 69 minutes, a result that echoed an identical scoreline the two produced in Acapulco earlier this year. It was his eighth consecutive victory and added to a resume that already includes the 2024 US Open boys’ title and an ATP trophy in Marrakesh two weeks ago. He is ranked 51st and is poised to move higher on Monday.

Standing 6’3″, Jodar mixes a flat bomb of a serve with a high kick second option and a forehand that blends pace and topspin. One commentator compared that forehand’s look to Arthur Fils. Yet it is Jodar’s two-handed backhand that drew the clearest notice. When he leans into it the stroke arrives with depth and bullet-like speed that repeatedly troubled Norrie.

A pivotal sequence came at 2-2 in the second set. Jodar reached break point twice and was repelled both times, and on the third occasion Norrie pulled off an excellent drop shot that seemed to shut the door. Jodar reversed direction mid-stride, put his racquet on the ball and redirected it into the open court for a winner and the break. “I think I handled the important moments and the pressure moments in the match very well,” Jodar said. “I think I played those points specifically very well.”

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At 4-2 he again seized an opening with a powered backhand winner to close the match. If nerves were expected late, they never appeared.

With this run Jodar joins a rising class of young ATP hopefuls. On Saturday he will face Arthur Fils in what will be his stiffest test yet. “I’m super happy with my performance today,” Jodar said, “but I know I have to keep pushing.”

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ATP ATP 500 BMW Open

Zverev and Shelton Settle into Munich Semifinals as Molcan and Cobolli Advance

Shelton and Zverev reached the Munich semifinals; Molcan and Cobolli joined them in the draw on clay

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The top two seeds and last year’s finalists, Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton, both moved into the semifinals at the BMW Open by Bitpanda.

Shelton, the No. 2 seed, survived a stern test from João Fonseca, prevailing 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 in one hour and 49 minutes on Center Court. The 23-year-old struck seven aces and won 84 per cent of his first-service points across the three sets. “It was a much warmer day today with shorter rallies,” Shelton said after his first meeting with the 19-year-old. “He is an electric player, one of the rising stars on the tour. It’s a big match for him and there is a lot of excitement around him. He has many fans around the world, and I was looking forward to it, as it’s the type of atmosphere I like to play in. I’d love playing against him in Brazil one day. That’d be really cool.” Shelton advanced to his 14th ATP Tour semi and will meet Slovakian qualifier Alex Molcan on Saturday.

Molcan, ranked No. 166, beat Denis Shapovaolov 6-4, 6-4 in 78 minutes, winning 57 per cent of the total points. He became the lowest-ranked Munich semi-finalist since world No. 186 Gerald Melzer in 2015. “At the beginning of the week, I wasn’t even sure if I was getting into the tournament. I took a risk, I came here and made into the main draw,” Molcan said. “I am playing well. It feels unreal. The last two years were tough. I was struggling a lot. I had to undergo two surgeries, and it was a pretty dark tennis time for me, but I still believed that I could get back to some good level. Last year at this time I was playing Futures, now I am into the semis of an ATP 500. I don’t even know what to say. I am just proud of myself and my team.”

Top seed Alexander Zverev rallied past Francisco Cerundolo 5-7, 6-0, 6-2 to reach his fifth tour-level semi of the season. The match lasted two hours and 15 minutes. “I was 4-1 up in the first set but then he started playing and returning unbelievably,” Zverev said. “My first-serve percentage was very high, and I returned close to the baseline, so there was nothing I could do. I was happy with my level, even in the first set, and I am definitely happy to earn my first win over Francisco on clay.” In the other quarterfinal, fourth seed Flavio Cobolli defeated Vit Kopriva 6-3, 6-2 in one hour and 26 minutes, breaking serve four times. “It wasn’t easy at all today. We fought for every point. It is always a pleasure to play against him, as he is also a nice guy,” Cobolli said. Zverev will face Cobolli in the other semi.

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