ATP Australian Open Grand Slam
Which underdog has the clearest shot at an Australian Open quarterfinal upset?
De Minaur, Musetti and Shelton seek the paths to the biggest upsets in the Australian Open quarters .
Three heavy favorites—Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic and Jannik Sinner—enter the quarterfinals with a combined 22-2 record against their opponents, and the draw has produced remarkably little carnage. Thirteen of the Top 16 seeds across the men’s and women’s draws have reached the quarters, including seven of eight on the ATP side. Still, a few challengers present plausible paths to a shock.
Alex de Minaur, the sixth seed, has reshaped his narrative this fortnight. “I got tired of the narrative that these big hitters can take the racquet out of my hands,” De Minaur says. The Australian is lean and compact at 6’0 and has beaten Frances Tiafoe and Alexander Bublik in straight sets in his last two matches. Bublik entered undefeated in 2026 and had won their previous two meetings; De Minaur’s mid-match dismantling was therefore notable. He has not beaten Carlos Alcaraz in five attempts and is 0-6 in Grand Slam quarterfinals, but his matches with Alcaraz have been competitive. “This is going to be the first time playing at a Grand Slam,” De Minaur says. “So I’m very keen to see how it goes.” He added assessments of Alcaraz’s development: “In the past, he’s maybe had times where he’s been able to give you a couple of cheap points here and there and kind of let opponents get into the match, and he’s been working on that,” De Minaur says of Alcaraz. “So he’s only going to make it harder.” De Minaur acknowledges the task ahead: “It just comes down to I’m going to have to bring some of my best tennis, right?”
Lorenzo Musetti faces Novak Djokovic, who received a fourth-round walkover from an injured Jakub Mensik and has not played in four days. “Age-wise, look, I think that on a given day when I’m feeling good physically and mentally, when I’m playing well, I can challenge anybody, and I still believe I can beat all of them,” Novak Djokovic said last week. Musetti notes the Serb’s resilience and status: “I think at this age, I think he was happy about it, of course, to try to be well-prepared and well-relaxed for this match,” the Italian says. “One for sure, you know, facing his character, his status as a player and as a champion,” Musetti says. “The second one of course the way he turn around sometimes from difficult situation, raising his level, never escaping from a match.” Musetti reached the Athens final recently and said, “I think I had my chances there, but I…was not cold enough to beat him.”
Ben Shelton has struggled historically against Jannik Sinner but believes changes in his game help: “His ball speed is really high; never seen anything like it,” Shelton said at Wimbledon last summer. “You don’t see anything like it when you’re going through the draw. When you play him, it’s almost like things are in double speed.” He conceded Sinner’s strengths: “It’s difficult when a guy’s hitting the ball that big, that consistently off both wings, and serving the way he is.” Shelton highlighted his net play as an advantage: “I think my game is a lot different,” Shelton says. “I think the way that I’m executing, one, at the net is going to be a huge advantage to me.” “I think that’s a piece that really helps me, because you got to play offensive tennis to beat the best guys.” Against each favorite the challengers must take risks and execute near-perfect tennis; history still tips toward the top seeds advancing in best-of-five matches.
1000 ATP Italian Open
Rome Day Preview: Blockx, Pliskova and Prizmic in the spotlight
Blockx’s rise, Pliskova’s comeback bid and Prizmic’s breakout headline Rome’s opening matchups..
Alexander Blockx has emerged as a compelling presence on tour this spring. The 21-year-old from Belgium reached the semifinals in Madrid last week and now sits at No. 36 in the rankings. That rise has not been enough to earn a seed in Rome, though he should make the cut at the Slams. In Rome he faces a different sort of challenge: a younger opponent. Cina, a 19-year-old from Palermo who reached as high as No. 4 in the juniors, will have local support. As a pro, however, Cina has not been ranked higher than No. 183. Blockx’s profile fits the modern top-level ATP player: a 6’4 frame, a strong serve, a heavy topspin forehand and a two-handed backhand. Winner: Blockx
Karolina Pliskova’s return to the later rounds of a WTA 1000 event was unexpected at the start of the year. The 34-year-old finished 2025 ranked outside the Top 1000 and had not advanced past the second round at a major since 2023. Last week in Madrid she looked more like the player who once held No. 1 in the world, making the quarters and coming within a set of the semifinals. Now at No. 130, Pliskova has momentum and tournament history on her side: she won this event in 2019 and reached the final in 2020 and 2021. She opens against Bouzas Maneiro, a fiery 23-year-old from Spain ranked 50th. They have never played each other. Winner: Pliskova
Dino Prizmic is another name that surfaced during Madrid. The 20-year-old from Croatia, listed at 6’2, plays with noticeable grit and physicality. He recorded eye-opening wins over Matteo Berrettini and Ben Shelton last week in Madrid, moves to a career-high No. 79 and is now a player to watch as the clay season progresses. His rise this spring has been rapid and memorable.
ATP ATP 500 Swiss Indoors
Wawrinka to Close Career with Basel Tribute after Rome Withdrawal
Wawrinka will end his career with a Basel tribute in October after a Rome withdrawal. Back pain ended
Three-time major champion Stan Wawrinka will bring his farewell season to a close on home soil in October, the Swiss Indoors Basel has indicated.
The tournament announced plans for a special evening on Monday, October 26 at 6 p.m., with a pre-sale launching Wednesday. “An emotional evening full of memories, surprises and magical moments from the career of the Vaud-born superstar awaits spectators,” organizers teased. The statement also made clear the end point of his farewell season: “He would have liked to keep playing forever. But Basel marks the end of the line for Stan Wawrinka as he says goodbye to the game,” the tournament wrote.
Wawrinka began his final season with encouraging signs, competing at the United Cup and reaching the third round of the Australian Open. The 41-year-old returned to the Top 100 in February and March before falling back in the rankings and missing the initial Roland Garros main-draw entry cutoff. He remains due to be recognized following his last French Open match.
Preparations for Paris suffered a setback when Wawrinka withdrew from his second-round qualifying match in Rome. According to the entry, back pain prevented him from taking on Pablo Carreño Busta, forcing an early end to his bid in the Italian event.
The Basel tribute is presented as a final, formal farewell on the site where Wawrinka will end his professional career. Organizers promise an evening that reflects on the highlights of his time on tour and affords fans a chance to celebrate the Vaud-born star before he departs the tour.
Analytics & Stats ATP Grand Slam
Carlos Alcaraz at 23: the numbers that define his early career
At 23, Alcaraz already has seven majors, eight Masters 1000s, a Career Grand Slam and 15 big titles.
“Feliz cumpleaños, Carlitos!”
Carlos Alcaraz turns 23 with a résumé few players achieve over an entire career. The following numbers, drawn from his first 23 years, outline how quickly he has climbed the sport.
1. No. 1 — he first reached the top ranking as a 19-year-old in 2022, the first and still only teenager to do so since the rankings began in 1973.
2. Two year-end No. 1 finishes, in 2022 and 2025.
3. Three match points saved in the Roland Garros final last year; he recovered from 3-5, 0-40 in the fourth set to beat Jannik Sinner, 4-6, 6-7 (4), 6-4, 7-6 (3), 7-6 (2), becoming the first man in the Open Era to save three match points to win a major final.
4. $64,997,598 in career prize money, the fourth-most in ATP history behind Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer.
5. Five — he won his first five Grand Slam finals in a row, second in the Open Era only to Federer.
6. A 6-2 career record against reigning world No. 1s (1-1 vs Djokovic at No. 1, 5-1 vs Sinner at No. 1).
7. Seven Grand Slam titles: Australian Open (2026), Roland Garros (2024, 2025), Wimbledon (2023, 2024) and US Open (2022, 2025). He is the youngest man to reach seven majors.
8. Eight Masters 1000 titles, the second-youngest man to reach that total after Nadal.
9. Nine ATP 500 titles and a 16-match winning streak at ATP 500 events, with Queen’s Club and Tokyo last year and Doha this year.
10. He ended Djokovic’s 10-year, 45-match winning streak on Centre Court by winning the 2023 Wimbledon final, 1-6, 7-6 (6), 6-1, 3-6, 6-4.
11. Eleven hard-court and 11 clay-court titles, plus four grass-court titles including two Wimbledons.
12. A 12-match winning streak in five-setters; he is 15-1 in five-set matches, the lone loss to Matteo Berrettini at the 2022 Australian Open.
13. Surpassed 13,000 ranking points for the first time after the Australian Open this year, reaching a career-high 13,650.
14. Titles in 14 countries: Argentina, Australia, Brazil, China, Croatia, France, Italy, Japan, Monaco, Netherlands, Qatar, Spain, UK and USA.
15. Fifteen career big titles (seven majors, eight Masters 1000s); runner-up at the 2024 Olympics and the 2025 ATP Finals.
16. Made a winning ATP Tour debut at 16, beating Albert Ramos-Vinolas in Rio de Janeiro in 2020, 7-6 (2), 4-6, 7-6 (2).
17. Seventeen Top-10 wins in 2025 (17-4 vs Top 10 that year).
18. Broke into the Top 10 at 18 on April 25, 2022.
19. First Grand Slam title at 19 at the 2022 US Open.
20. A perfect 20-0 record in Grand Slam first-round matches.
21. $21,354,778 earned in 2025, the second-highest single-season prize money total in ATP history behind Djokovic’s $21,646,145 in 2015.
22. Completed the Career Grand Slam at 22 with the Australian Open this year, the youngest man ever to do so.
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