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Five ATP players whose Indian Wells result could define the start of 2026

A look at five ATP players whose 2026 seasons could hinge on a strong Indian Wells showing. in March

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Indian Wells traditionally accelerates the season, and for several men the desert will offer a clear gauge of where their 2026 campaigns are headed. Here are five players for whom a deep run would be particularly useful.

Jannik Sinner (Rank: 2) — 2025 IW: Did Not Play
Sinner’s history in the tournament is complicated. He tested positive for a banned substance after the 2024 edition, and was banned from the event in 2025. He has yet to reach the final at Indian Wells, losing to Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinals in both 2023 and 2024. Sinner has trailed Alcaraz slightly this year, falling in the Melbourne semifinals and Doha quarterfinals while Alcaraz captured both titles. A first title in the desert would be a timely statement.

Taylor Fritz (Rank: 7) — 2025 IW: 4th round
Fritz is 8-3 since the United Cup, reached the final in Dallas and had match points for the title there, and has moved up to No. 7 despite a shaky knee. Indian Wells is a home tournament for the SoCal native: he won it four years ago. At 28, Fritz has spent his 20s climbing into the Top 10 and into second weeks at majors; another strong showing in the desert would help him push beyond merely holding a top-10 place.

Daniil Medvedev (Rank: 11) — 2025 IW: Semifinal
Medvedev looked ready for a reboot in 2026 after a difficult prior 12 months. He hired a new coach and began 2026 strongly, winning Brisbane and compiling a 12-3 start to the season. He was upset by Learner Tien in the Australian Open fourth round and then lost early in Rotterdam and Doha; at the time of this piece he was in the semifinals in Dubai. Medvedev has made the Indian Wells final twice and reached the 2025 semifinals, meaning he will be defending points there. An early exit would stall his comeback.

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Jakub Mensik (Rank: 13) — 2025 IW: 2nd round
Mensik’s crucial week is Miami, where he defends champion’s points. After his Miami title he failed to make another semifinal in 2025. In 2026 he has been inconsistent, though he won Auckland and reached the Doha semifinal after defeating Sinner. Still only 20 and standing 6’5, Mensik’s serve and youth suggest a deep Sunshine Double would accelerate his development.

Cerundolo (Rank: 19) — 2025 IW: Quarterfinal
Last spring Cerundolo looked poised to become a multi-surface threat. He used South American clay momentum to reach the Indian Wells and Miami quarterfinals, then made semifinals in Munich and Madrid and arrived at Roland Garros as a dark horse. He lost in the first round at Roland Garros and then at Wimbledon, and never regained form in 2025.

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Alex Eala opens Singapore challenge against Prozorova as ranking gains loom

Eala begins in Singapore against Prozorova, with ranking gains and a clearer draw within reach.

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Alex Eala will start her Singapore Open run against Tatiana Prozorova in the second round, with her first match since a tense three-set defeat to Iva Jovic in the third round of the US Open on 6 September.

On paper, the route to the WTA 500 final has become slightly less demanding. Eighth seed Donna Vekic fell in the opening round, while second seed Amanda Anisimova withdrew at the last moment because of a wrist injury. Eala had been projected to meet the American, who beat her in three sets in Cincinnati last month, in the semi-finals. If Eala goes all the way to the final, the only seed she can potentially face before that stage is seventh seed Maria Sakkari.

Interest in her return is growing, especially from supporters who will have the chance to follow her much closer to home. Tournament director Yazed Osman has welcomed that attention and was clear about Eala’s wider appeal.

She said, “The Eala story is not only unique to the Philippines, but also with the tennis fraternity globally. She played her first few games here in the WTA during the WTA Finals. We have the Future Stars program, and she won that tournament when she was 12 years old. And the family shared that they remembered the OCBC Arena, and the courts where she stayed and so on.

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“And then last year she also featured in the Singapore Tennis Open 250, and now this 500. So her journey itself has been an inspiration to the tennis community, and I think the region is actually coming here and feeling very excited to see her perform at the highest level.”

According to the tournament website, Eala will face world No 180 Prozorova on Thursday, 24 September. She is scheduled as the fourth match on Centre Court, with the round-of-16 meeting set for no earlier than 6.30pm local time, 11.30am GMT/BST.

Eala will be on court after Joanna Garland meets Xin Wang and before Sakkari faces Nao Hibino.

A win would move her ahead of Naomi Osaka to 17th in the rankings, while lifting the title would take her to a career-high 14. With many rivals absent from WTA Tour action this week, the Singapore event offers Eala a clear chance to improve her position before the Asian Cup.

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Anisimova exits Singapore Open as WTA schedule pressure builds

Anisimova withdraws from Singapore Open and now faces WTA schedule and ranking pressure.

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Amanda Anisimova has pulled out of the Singapore Open just before she was due to play her opening match. The American was scheduled to face Talia Gibson in the round of 16 at the WTA 500 event, but a left wrist injury has forced her to withdraw.

Her place in the draw has gone to lucky loser Viktoria Morvayova, who moves directly into the second round of the WTA Tour Asian tournament.

The immediate concern is the injury, but the withdrawal also leaves Anisimova facing possible consequences tied to her 2026 schedule. She has played a relatively light season so far, appearing in only 12 tournaments. Within that total, she has featured in just two WTA 500 events, one short of the mandatory three every female player is required to complete across the season.

She has played only the Brisbane International and Queen’s before Singapore this year, meaning the Singapore Open would have been her third tournament of that level. Now, with the event out of reach, she risks a fine if she does not add another WTA 500 appearance before the year ends.

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There are only two tournaments left after Singapore, the Ningbo Open and the Pan Pacific Open, both set for October during the WTA Tour’s Asian swing. Anisimova has never played either event, so neither has been an obvious priority in her career. In 2026, though, one of them may become necessary.

If she skips both, she could face a point deduction or a monetary fine. That possibility sits alongside her hopes of reaching the WTA Finals, where she still has an outside chance of qualifying. She is currently 21st in the live Race for the WTA Finals standings, well outside the top eight spots that secure entry.

That leaves her with a decision that may shape the rest of her season. She could choose to play both WTA 500 tournaments in search of ranking points, while also trying to avoid any sanction. She will also be aiming to keep her WTA Finals hopes alive, especially with the event taking place on home soil at Indian Wells for the first time.

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Eala’s Asian Games decision puts WTA rule debate in focus

Eala’s Asian Games choice has triggered a possible WTA fine and strong criticism from former players.

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Alex Eala’s choice to compete at the 2026 Asian Games has sparked debate because it conflicts with the penultimate Masters event on the WTA calendar. Her decision means she will miss the China Open while trying to deliver gold for the Philippines.

Under WTA rules, players are expected to contest every Masters event unless they are injured, so Eala could face a fine from the governing body. She requested an exemption, but that appeal was turned down, leaving open the possibility of a sanction for one of the tour’s most followed players.

That prospect has drawn strong criticism from Steve Johnson, John Isner, and Sam Querrey, who argued that punishing Eala would be a mistake. “1000% she should play [the Asian Games], said Johnson on Nothing Major. “If the WTA fine her, that is the dumbest thing that they could do. Do not fine her.

“I know that they have not made exceptions in the past for certain players, but there is different rules for everyone. I hate to say it, but there just is.”

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Isner added: “I’m with you. They should waive the fine. Her ranking is going to dip by virtue of not playing.”

Querrey was equally direct.

“They also need stars and she is one of the biggest,” he explained. “They have a lot of leverage going into an individual sport. If she goes ‘if you guys fine me, I will skip more tournaments’.

“Let’s see how it goes [if she says] I will skip the other tournaments in Asia, where she is going to be the biggest star.”

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The issue is complicated further by the fact that several leading Chinese players, including Wang Xinyu, have chosen the China Open over the Asian Games.

Still, Eala has become one of the WTA Tour’s biggest draws in 2026. She has filled stadiums at the Australian Open and during the Middle Eastern swing, where long queues formed outside venues for her matches. She also stood out on the North American hardcourt swing, capped by her first WTA Tour title at the Washington Open.

Against that backdrop, many will see a fine as a poor decision, especially if it risks alienating a player whose matches continue to attract large crowds and strong support.

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