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Sabalenka’s Toronto setback leaves rankings race hanging over North American swing

Sabalenka’s Toronto exit keeps the world No 1 race alive as Rybakina closes in.

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Aryna Sabalenka’s run at the Canadian Open came to an abrupt end in the last 16, as Ekaterina Alexandrova beat her in three sets at the Toronto event.

Sabalenka fell 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 to the world No 11, another difficult chapter in a 2026 campaign that has already featured a string of early departures from major tournaments. The Belarusian has still collected three WTA titles this season, including the Sunshine Double, but her defeats before the semi-final stage at Wimbledon, the Italian Open, the Madrid Open and Roland Garros have made consistency a growing concern.

That pattern stands in contrast to the standards Sabalenka has set over the past two years, when she has remained securely at world No 1 for long stretches. The loss in Toronto does not alter the rankings picture immediately, though. Sabalenka will remain world No 1 regardless of what happens at the Canadian Open.

Elena Rybakina, who sits closest to her at world No 2, still has a chance to narrow the gap further. Even if she wins the Canadian Open, she cannot overtake Sabalenka this week. A title for Rybakina would leave her only four points behind in the WTA Tour rankings.

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Rybakina is due to face Liudmila Samsonova in the round of 16, helped by several high-profile exits already seen in Toronto. Jessica Pegula, Mirra Andreeva, Linda Noskova, Amanda Anisimova and Marta Kostyuk have all been eliminated before the quarter-final stage.

The current rankings show Sabalenka on 8670 points, with Rybakina on 7786. Behind them, only Coco Gauff, Elina Svitolina and Iga Swiatek remain from the top ten alongside Rybakina, which leaves the battle for No 1 finely poised heading toward the Cincinnati Open.

Sabalenka reached the quarter-finals there last season and will defend 215 ranking points. Rybakina went one round further, meaning she has 390 points to protect. If both players continue on their current paths, Rybakina has a real opportunity to claim world No 1 for the first time in her career.

For Sabalenka, the immediate task is to regroup and prepare for the next stage of the hard-court swing, knowing that a deep run may be needed to preserve her position at the summit. The rivalry between Sabalenka and Rybakina remains one of the season’s central storylines.

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Alex Eala’s rise opens the door to bigger commercial rewards

Alex Eala’s rise is already drawing major sponsors, and bigger deals may soon follow.

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Alex Eala’s rapid climb has turned her from an intriguing prospect into a genuine force in women’s tennis. In just a few weeks, she has captured attention around the sport and assembled a global following that looks set to keep growing.

Her run to the Wimbledon last 16, highlighted by a win over defending champion Iga Swiatek, was followed last week by her first WTA Tour title in Washington. Those results have put her firmly in the conversation for the game’s biggest prizes, and they also point toward a major commercial surge.

One likely beneficiary is Nike, with whom Eala already has a clothing deal. That agreement appears poised for renewal on better terms, especially as her profile continues to rise. Her link with the Rafael Nadal Academy may also have helped establish that relationship, given the company’s long association with the player whose name is attached to her training base.

The commercial comparison to Emma Raducanu is hard to avoid. After her US Open triumph five years ago, Raducanu attracted a wave of sponsorships, helped by her appeal across multiple markets. Eala now has a chance to surpass that model, with her popularity in the Philippines expected to extend well beyond her home country.

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She already holds deals with Globe Telecom, Babolat, Bank of the Philippine Islands, Milo Philippines and Locally Juice, and has recently been added by Marriott Bonvoy, the award-winning travel program of Marriott International and Official Hotel Partner of the Australian Open. That addition suggests companies are moving quickly to secure a place in her growing story.

Raducanu’s Uniqlo deal, reported at around $3.5m a year, offers a useful benchmark. Eala could move beyond that if she renews with Nike, and she may already command more than Raducanu in major sponsorship talks.

Coco Gauff’s estimated $23 million in annual off-court earnings remains the standard at the top of the market, but Eala may be building toward that level. A Grand Slam title may be needed to reach the very summit, yet even now she is positioned for life-changing endorsement opportunities and could be set to earn $10m from this point forward.

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Djokovic closes in on a historic prize money threshold

Djokovic nears $200m as Cincinnati and the US Open offer him a historic money milestone.

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Novak Djokovic is long past measuring his career in financial terms, yet the player who leads the men’s prize money standings may still reach a notable milestone in the coming weeks.

The 24-time Grand Slam champion has earned $194,656,816 in career prize money. That total reflects a career defined by extraordinary success, including more weeks at No 1 than any other player and more ATP Masters 1000 titles than anyone else.

Behind him on the all-time earnings list are Rafael Nadal on $134,946,100 and Roger Federer on $130,594,339. Those figures are expected to keep rising across the sport as prize money continues to increase, and the US Open is set to announce a larger top prize after last year’s record $5m award to the men’s and women’s champions in New York.

For the moment, though, Djokovic remains the earnings leader, and he has a realistic chance to become the first player in tennis history to pass $200m in prize money if his next few weeks on US hard courts go well.

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He will be among the favourites at the Cincinnati Masters after world No 1 Jannik Sinner and defending champion Carlos Alcaraz withdrew because of injury. A title there would bring him $1,151,380. If he then went on to win the US Open a couple of weeks later, he would move beyond the $200m mark.

Djokovic’s income has not come only from competition. Long-running sponsorship arrangements with Head, Lacoste, Asics and other companies have added substantially to his wealth.

When asked about money in an interview with Piers Morgan last year, Djokovic said it has never been his main motivation.

“You know, we live in a very materialistic society these days. It’s nothing against you but I am not like that,” he stated in the interview.

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“I don’t want to give all the information about what I am worth and what my investments are, it’s none of their business. Why should I disclose that? For what reason? There are things that are disclosed like prize money and people know about or contracts, but other things, no.

“Money is important. It’s very important and it does bring security, no doubt about it. It’s one of the driving forces in society today, you cannot neglect the importance of money.

“But if money is the only thing you are thinking about, in my experience as an athlete, for me it’s more of a meritocracy model – if I win a tournament, I get rewarded with sponsorship deals.

“But it’s about the mentality and the brand you want to create around yourself. I don’t like to talk about this but I did refuse a lot of the big brands and big paycheques in my career, because I cannot represent something I do not believe in. I have always tried to play the long game.”

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Eala’s rise mirrors Sabalenka’s recent tournament pattern

Eala’s summer surge has put her on a strikingly similar path to world No 1 Sabalenka.

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Alex Eala has moved into the upper tier of the WTA Tour on the strength of a strong summer stretch, highlighted by her breakthrough at the Washington Open.

The Filipina captured her first WTA title there, finishing the event with wins over Jessica Pegula in the final, plus victories against Elina Svitolina and Naomi Osaka along the way. Her season has also featured a run to the Wimbledon fourth round, followed more recently by a place in the Canadian Open round of 16, where Belinda Bencic beat her in straight sets.

Those results have done more than boost Eala’s profile. They have also placed her on a strikingly similar tournament path to world No 1 Aryna Sabalenka over the last few months.

The two players have reached the same round in the last four tournaments they have both entered. At the Italian Open, Sabalenka exited in the round of 32 against Sorana Cirstea, and Eala was also stopped in the same round by Elena Rybakina. During the grass-court swing, Eala reached the Berlin Open semifinals, while Sabalenka likewise advanced to the final four of that WTA 500 event. At Wimbledon, Eala produced her best Grand Slam result by reaching the fourth round, while Sabalenka was stunned by Naomi Osaka at SW19. In Canada, both again fell at the round of 16 stage, with Sabalenka losing to Ekaterina Alexandrova and Eala going out to Bencic.

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Sabalenka’s recent dip in form makes the comparison even more notable, but Eala’s consistency shows how far she has come. If she can sustain this level, a rise inside the top 10 is not out of reach.

She now has two important chances to add ranking points at the Cincinnati Open and the US Open. Cincinnati will be her main draw debut, which guarantees points even with a first-round loss. At the US Open, she is defending second-round points after beating Clara Tauson for her first Grand Slam win at the 2025 event. Eala is currently 240 points behind Alexandrova, who sits at world No 19.

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