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Sabalenka’s 2026 slump draws fresh scrutiny as rankings pressure builds
Sabalenka’s uneven 2026 continues, with form, confidence and ranking pressure all under scrutiny.
Aryna Sabalenka’s 2026 season has been a study in extremes, with a handful of major highs offset by a series of unexpected setbacks.
At her best, Sabalenka was outstanding in March, completing the Sunshine Double and reinforcing her status at the top of the sport. She also opened the year strongly in Australia, where she won the Brisbane International and reached the final of the Grand Slam.
Yet those results have not been matched by consistency. The world No 1 has endured several defeats that stand out because they are so uncharacteristic, including exits in the round of 32 at the Italian Open and the round of 16 at Wimbledon. Since the Miami Open in March, she has not made another final.
That uneven run has prompted plenty of discussion about what is behind the dip. Rick Macci, the legendary coach and former coach of Serena Williams, offered one view on X.
Speaking on X, Serena Williams’ former coach said: “Sabalenka is playing different than in the past. She is farther behind the baseline. She is on the back foot more.
“She is bailing out of the crosscourt lasers sooner than normal. Mentally her confidence has been tested and as a result the unreal belief we saw before is out the door. She has always been emotional but could regroup in 20 seconds.
“She can flip the switch but the ripple now is other players see she is hitting long and into the net and they feel they can pull the upset.”
Sabalenka has already lost seven times this season, and only two of those defeats have come against players ranked inside the top 10. The list of players to beat her in 2026 includes Elena Rybakina, Jessica Pegula, Ekaterina Alexandrova, Naomi Osaka, Diana Shnaider, Sorana Cirstea, and Hailey Baptiste.
There is now added pressure on her position at No 1. Rybakina currently trails Sabalenka by 789 ranking points, but that gap could shrink sharply if the Kazakhstani star wins the Canadian Open. If she does, only four points would separate the top two in the world rankings.
With the Cincinnati Open and the US Open approaching quickly, Sabalenka will need a sharp response to protect her lead at the top.
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Sabalenka reflects after Toronto exit as Alexandrova details the challenge
Sabalenka said there are “lessons to learn” after her surprise Toronto exit against Alexandrova.
Aryna Sabalenka said she has “lessons to learn” after her run at the 2026 Canadian Open ended sooner than expected in Toronto.
The world No 1 was beaten 7-6(3), 4-6, 6-4 by 19th-ranked Ekaterina Alexandrova in the fourth round of the WTA 1000 event. It was Sabalenka’s first tournament since her last-16 defeat to Naomi Osaka at Wimbledon last month, and another result that underlined a difficult stretch by her recent standards.
The four-time Grand Slam champion has now fallen before the final in each of her last six tournaments. During that sequence, she managed only one semi-final, which came at the Berlin Open. Before that decline, Sabalenka had put together an outstanding opening to the season, winning 26 of her first 27 matches in 2026.
That early surge included titles at the Brisbane International and the Indian Wells and Miami Open events, along with a place in the Australian Open final. Her quarter-final loss to Hailey Baptiste at the Madrid Open in April ended a 15-match winning streak, marking the start of a more uneven period.
After the defeat in Canada, Sabalenka posted a brief message on Instagram. “Leaving Toronto with a lot of love and lessons to learn. Onto the next,” wrote the 28-year-old.
Alexandrova, meanwhile, was asked to assess the task of facing the top-ranked player after securing the win. She praised the breadth of Sabalenka’s game and the way she can disrupt opponents’ timing and rhythm.
“I think, I mean, she has every aspect of the game, I think, in a very high level,” said the 31-year-old Russian.
“She has an amazing serve, return. She can make amazing shots from both sides, the forehand and the backhand. She can play the dropshot and the volley. So basically she can do anything.
“You need to be prepared for that, that, like, that there’s not going to be, like, some easy points or easy shots. So every point you play, you need to be super focused and super prepared for anything.
“Because even when you make a good shot and you expect something easier for you just to finish the point, maybe it’s not the case with her because she can play it like, you know, like even better shot from your good shot. I think that’s the difficulty to playing against her.
“Also, she also is good with the switching, like, timing and the rhythm. Because like today I didn’t feel any particular rhythm. Sometimes it was super fast, sometimes it was slower, sometimes it was with the spin. It’s really hard to readjust for this type of game.”
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Gauff says Eala’s ascent is helping tennis and sets a new standard
Coco Gauff praised Alex Eala’s rise, calling her influence a benefit to tennis and a role model.
Coco Gauff has highlighted the impact of Alex Eala’s rise, saying the Filipina is bringing something valuable to the sport and calling her a “great role model.”
Eala reached a career-best ranking of world No 20 last week after capturing her first title at the Washington Open. That breakthrough at the WTA 500 event extended her momentum into the Canadian Open, where she opened with two straight three-set victories to push her winning streak to seven matches.
Her run in Toronto ended in the fourth round with a 6-0, 6-4 loss to world No 14 Belinda Bencic. Even so, Eala drew major support in both Washington DC and Toronto, where fans from the Philippines turned out in large numbers.
Gauff was asked about Eala’s influence after her fourth-round victory over Alina Korneeva in Toronto. The 22-year-old American was clear about what the rising player adds to the tour.
“I think, like I said before, like, the demographic that she brings to the sport of tennis is something we all benefit from,” said the 22-year-old American.
“I played her in Dubai and that was, it felt like we were in the Philippines. I thought it was so fun to play in that crowd.
“I played her at Indian Wells, and it felt like it was a little bit more American-leaning that match. I didn’t get to finish it, unfortunately.
“But, yeah, I think what she’s doing for the sport of tennis is great. I think she’s a great role model for people to look up to.
“I said it the last time: What you guys see on camera is who she is off court. That’s something I really respect when someone is who they are at all times.”
Gauff also commented on the overall strength of the WTA Tour, saying the level of competition has made every match difficult and that the depth has increased since she began on tour. She pointed to the steady number of different Grand Slam winners and the No 1 ranking being up for grabs as signs of that strength.
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Alcaraz’s US Open return questioned as welfare expert flags major risks
Stephen Smith warns Carlos Alcaraz faces major welfare risks ahead of the 2026 US Open.
Stephen Smith, a leading expert in injury prevention and athlete welfare, has raised serious doubts about Carlos Alcaraz taking part in the 2026 US Open after the Spaniard’s wrist injury.
Alcaraz goes into the discussion as the reigning champion in New York, having beaten Jannik Sinner in the 2025 final to claim his second US Open title. He also began the 2026 season by winning his first Australian Open crown, becoming the youngest man in tennis history to complete the career Grand Slam.
Despite those achievements, the 23-year-old has not played at the last two majors, Roland Garros and Wimbledon, because of a right wrist injury that has kept him sidelined since April. He is still listed for the US Open, which starts on 30 August, but his appearance is now highly uncertain after he withdrew from the Cincinnati Masters.
That withdrawal means Alcaraz is not currently set to have a warmup event before Flushing Meadows. A wildcard into the ATP 250 event in Winston-Salem remains a theoretical option, although it appears unlikely. With more than four months away from competition, a return straight into a Grand Slam environment would be a demanding step, and there is growing expectation that he may postpone his comeback further.
Smith, who founded and serves as CEO of Kitman Labs, said he would be “shocked” if Alcaraz played in New York. He pointed to the combined strain of the event and the circumstances surrounding the player’s layoff.
“I think the US Open compounds almost every welfare risk at once — extreme heat and humidity in New York, hardest surface in the game, best-of-five matches that can go four or five hours,” said Smith in an exclusive interview with Tennis365.
“For a guy that’s been off for a significant period of time, as well, you would expect that he probably would play more sets than he normally would given the talent he has.
“For anyone managing some sort of soft tissue or bone issue, the court surface offers the least protection of any of the majors.
“Given how patient they’ve been, I would be shocked to see him at the US Open.
“If you’re taking that patient approach and you’re progressively building, why throw somebody back in to the hardest thing they might do all year? Surely, you want that to be a progressive build.”
