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ATP Masters National Bank Open

Arthur Fils Set for Return Against Pablo Carreno Busta at National Bank Open

Arthur Fils returns from injury to face Pablo Carreno Busta amid concerns over the Spaniard’s form.

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Arthur Fils, sidelined since his grueling five-set victory over Jaume Munar at Roland Garros due to a stress fracture in his back, is poised to make his comeback at the National Bank Open. The timing of this injury was unfortunate as Fils had been delivering some of his best tennis to date.

His recovery status leaves some uncertainty about his form, but despite this, the potential benefits of backing Fils outweigh the risks compared to the current state of Pablo Carreno Busta. Carreno Busta secured a win recently as an underdog against Challenger-level player Liam Draxl. However, Draxl, despite an impressive 39-13 record in Challengers this year, has yet to claim an ATP-level match victory.

Carreno Busta’s recent performances reflect inconsistency, including a straight-set defeat to Gauthier Onclin at a Lyon Challenger. His ATP tour-level record stands at a concerning 4-9, coupled with a low break percentage of only 15.2%. These factors position Carreno Busta at a disadvantage, especially with his struggles on return games.

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Fils, on the other hand, is expected to showcase a strong serving game and athleticism, despite moments where he may not be at full strength. His improvements in return play are notable, with a break rate increased to 23.6%, an area that previously hampered his game.

Their recent encounter in Barcelona saw Fils triumph in straight sets, 7-6 (6), 6-3, on Carreno Busta’s home ground. Given the faster conditions and neutral setting of the National Bank Open, a similar outcome seems plausible. This analysis supports laying 3.5 games with the 21-year-old Frenchman as a confident pick for this match.

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Analytics & Stats ATP National Bank Open

Canadian Gabriel Diallo Advances to Third Round at National Bank Open

Gabriel Diallo reaches the third round of the Toronto National Bank Open with a key win over Matteo Gigante.

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Gabriel Diallo, the towering 6-foot-8 right-hander from Montreal, secured his place in the third round of the National Bank Open in Toronto by defeating Italy’s Matteo Gigante 6-3, 7-6 (7-5) on Wednesday. The match, which lasted 1 hour and 46 minutes and was interrupted by rain, saw Diallo display resilience, saving two set points at 2-5 in the second set before battling back to force a tiebreak. Despite Gigante taking a 5-3 lead in the breaker, he faltered at the crucial moment, losing the last four points and double-faulting on match point.

Reflecting on the match’s ups and downs, Diallo commented, “Tennis is sometimes pretty crazy with the momentum switches that you see throughout a match.”

Diallo, seeded 27th at his home event, is in the midst of a breakthrough season highlighted by his first ATP Tour title last month in the Netherlands. His next challenge will come against the winner of a later match between second-seeded American Taylor Fritz and Spain’s Roberto Carballes Baena.

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ATP Masters National Bank Open

Medvedev vs. Popyrin: Key Matchup as Toronto Masters 2025 Continues

Medvedev faces Popyrin in Toronto Masters round two, both aiming to regain form ahead of US Open.

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Daniil Medvedev and Alexei Popyrin meet in a significant second-round encounter at the 2025 Toronto Masters, both seeking to build momentum in their US Open preparations. Medvedev, a former world No. 1 and the 2021 Toronto champion, faces Popyrin, the defending champion from Canada, who secured the title here last summer.

Their head-to-head history includes memorable moments. In 2021, Medvedev battled through severe cramps to edge out Popyrin 6-4 in the third set on indoor hard courts. More recently, Medvedev claimed a straightforward 6-4, 6-1 victory over Popyrin in Rome this year, lacking the intensity of their earlier clash.

Both players have had challenging starts in 2025. Medvedev has yet to claim a title and holds a 1-3 record in Grand Slams this year, having slipped out of the Top 10 rankings for the first time since 2018. Popyrin, despite last year’s breakthrough, has struggled to maintain consistency, carrying a 12-16 match record overall and 3-2 at majors.

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They both eased through their opening matches at Toronto, though against lower-ranked opponents, showing flashes of their top-level potential. Popyrin’s powerful serve and forehand remain formidable weapons, while Medvedev retains the caliber of a former world leader who has not sounded defeated by recent setbacks.

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ATP Masters National Bank Open

Tien and Opelka Set for American Showdown at Toronto Open

Tien and Opelka face off at Toronto: power serve meets speed in a key American match.

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The National Bank Open in Toronto will showcase an intriguing clash between two American players from different generations: Learner Tien and Reilly Opelka. Though Opelka is only eight years older than 19-year-old Tien, their careers have taken very different paths thus far.

Opelka peaked four years ago when he reached the final in Toronto and entered the Top 20 rankings. At that time, he was considered among the future pillars of U.S. men’s tennis alongside contemporaries Taylor Fritz, Tommy Paul, and Frances Tiafoe. However, injuries have since impeded his progress, and he is now ranked 74th, aiming to regain his form and status.

Tien’s season, while marked by expected fluctuations, has been promising. The Californian teenager made an impactful run to the second week of the Australian Open early in the year but currently holds a 15-16 record with a ranking of 61. Recently, he achieved one of his best wins against 22nd seed Denis Shapovalov at the tournament.

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The match features a clear physical contrast: Opelka stands a full foot taller than Tien, which promises a battle of styles—Opelka’s powerful serve against Tien’s speed and consistency. Much will depend on Tien’s ability to engage in rallies and neutralize Opelka’s serve.

Their sole prior meeting occurred at the Rome clay court event, where Tien secured a narrow two-set victory. This upcoming encounter in Toronto offers both players a chance to assert themselves and move forward in the tournament.

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