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Sabalenka Overcomes Gauff to Win Graf Group as Pegula Joins Semifinals

Sabalenka rallied past Gauff 7-6(5), 6-2 to win the Graf Group; Pegula beat Paolini 6-2, 6-3. Semis.

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Entering Thursday, three players — Coco Gauff, Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka — still had multiple routes to reach two semifinal berths from the Stefanie Graf Group at the WTA Finals. By the day’s close the picture had cleared.

World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka recovered from a 5-3 deficit in the opening set to defeat defending champion Coco Gauff 7-6(5), 6-2, eliminating Gauff from semifinal contention. Sabalenka steadied the match at the tiebreak and carried momentum through the second set to close out a straight-sets victory.

Earlier, Jessica Pegula secured her place in the knockout stage with a 6-2, 6-3 victory over Jasmine Paolini, a result that, combined with Sabalenka’s win, defined the group standings. Sabalenka finished the round robin unbeaten at 3-0 and will advance as group winner. Pegula moves on in second place with a 2-1 record.

The results set the semifinal pairings: Sabalenka will face Amanda Anisimova in one semifinal, while Pegula will meet Elena Rybakina in the other.

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The day removed much of the earlier complexity in qualification scenarios and left a straightforward path for the two players who finished atop the Graf Group. Sabalenka’s comeback from a late deficit in the first set and her control in the second underlined her status at the top of the rankings. Pegula’s straight-sets win over Paolini ensured she would join Sabalenka in the final four.

Both semifinals promise contrasting styles: Sabalenka’s power and momentum against Anisimova’s game, and Pegula’s consistency against Rybakina’s weaponry. The WTA Finals will proceed with those matchups after the conclusion of group play.

© 2025 Robert Prange

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Analytics & Stats Finals

No. 1 Seeds Extend Streak to Seven Straight WTA Titles

No. 1 seeds have won seven straight WTA events, compiling a 35-0 run across seven weeks. Remarkable.

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Elena Rybakina defeated Karolina Muchova to claim the Stuttgart crown, 7-5, 6-1, and Marta Kostyuk beat Veronika Podrez for the Rouen title, 6-3, 6-4. Those finals completed another chapter in an unusual run on the women’s tour: top seeds have won the last seven WTA events in a row.

The run began in early March with Aryna Sabalenka at Indian Wells and has continued through seven tournaments and seven weeks. Top seeds are 35-0 over the last seven weeks at WTA events: Sabalenka 6-0 at Indian Wells and 6-0 in Miami; Pegula 5-0 in Charleston; Bouzkova 5-0 in Bogota; Andreeva 4-0 in Linz; Rybakina 4-0 in Stuttgart; and Kostyuk 5-0 in Rouen.

Those 35 consecutive wins did not all come without drama. In the first tournament of the streak, Indian Wells, Sabalenka faced a match point against Rybakina down 6-5 in the third-set tie-break in the final before sneaking out the win, 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 (6). In Stuttgart, Rybakina saved two match points in the third set, one down 5-4 and another down 6-5 in the breaker, to survive Leylah Fernandez in the quarterfinals, 6-7 (5), 6-4, 7-6 (6).

There were also a string of three-set victories elsewhere, including several from Pegula in Charleston before she closed out that event in straight sets. At each tournament the top seed has reached the finish line, producing an unbroken run of title-clinching performances by No. 1 seeds across the most recent slate of WTA events.

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CHAMPIONS AT THE LAST SEVEN WTA EVENTS:

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500 Australian Open Finals

Rybakina secures second Stuttgart title with straight-set win over Muchova

Rybakina claimed her second Stuttgart crown, beating Muchova 7-5, 6-1 to start clay season for Rome

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Elena Rybakina captured her second Porsche Tennis Grand Prix trophy, defeating Karolina Muchova 7-5, 6-1 in a one hour and 18 minute final on Center Court. The top seed overcame a spirited comeback in the first set from the No. 7 seed before asserting control in the second.

Rybakina, the reigning 2026 Australian Open champion, is set to return to No. 1 in the Race to the WTA Finals standings after the victory. Since her major triumph in Melbourne, the 26-year-old produced steady results but had not claimed another title, finishing runner-up to the world No. 1 at the BNP Paribas Open and falling in the Miami Open semifinals.

With Aryna Sabalenka absent from the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix because of injury, Rybakina targeted a strong start to her clay-court season and lost just one set across four matches to complete that mission. She advanced through a third-set tiebreaker against Leylah Fernandez in the quarterfinals, handled No. 6 seed Mirra Andreeva after Andreeva had stunned No. 3 seed Iga Swiatek, and then carried momentum into the final.

Against Muchova, Rybakina raced to a 5-2 lead early in the opening set before Muchova fought back to level at 5-5 and saved two set points as she tried to force a tiebreak. Rybakina converted her third set point to close out the first set and then dominated the second, building a 5-0 advantage. Muchova avoided a bagel with a game for 5-1, but Rybakina served out the match to love.

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Muchova arrived in Stuttgart off a breakthrough season that included her first WTA 1000 title at the Qatar TotalEnergies Open. She had also snapped losing streaks against Coco Gauff and Elina Svitolina en route to the final, and she was the last woman to beat Rybakina before Rybakina went on to win the Australian Open. On Sunday, however, Rybakina’s form proved decisive as she lifted her second Porsche in three years.

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Equipment Finals Grand Slam

Sabalenka debuts Wilson Blade v10 and reflects on pressure, regret and grief in Esquire profile

World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka debuts a Wilson Blade v10, discusses grief, regrets and lessons. Read on

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Fans missing Aryna Sabalenka at the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix have been met with a steady stream of new material from the world No. 1. Sabalenka unveiled her new racquet and posed for a fashion-forward Esquire cover shoot while speaking with editor-in-chief Michael Sebastian.

The Wilson advertisement for the Blade v10 carries a simple declaration: “Pressure is power,” a line that echoed Sabalenka’s 2026 run. A four-time Grand Slam champion, the 27-year-old rebounded from an Australian Open final loss to Elena Rybakina by completing the Sunshine Double, taking back-to-back titles at the BNP Paribas Open and the Miami Open. In Miami she avenged the Australian Open defeat to Rybakina in straight sets.

Asked how she might have lived her life outside tennis, she said she would be a “boxer or a model,” and in the Esquire conversation she addressed mistakes and hard lessons.

“I have a lot of regrets. I think we all do,” she told editor-in-chief Michael Sebastian. “Mistakes make us better people. It’s tough to be the person without regrets and mistakes. You better stay away from those people.”

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Sabalenka also revisited a difficult moment after the Roland Garros final, when she was hesitant to immediately praise Coco Gauff following a three-set defeat. “I have to take my time after the match before I go to the press conference when I lose the match, because when you do it straightaway, you’re still that emotional person,” said Sabalenka. The two players later smoothed things over and recorded conciliatory TikToks.

Beyond on-court swings, Sabalenka spoke about personal loss. She has carried the grief of losing her father in 2019 and urged emotional honesty. “It’s important to grieve, to cry, to go through the emotions,” she said. “Never hold it inside, because it’ll destroy you from the inside.”

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