ATP Australian Open Grand Slam
Which underdog has the clearest shot at an Australian Open quarterfinal upset?
De Minaur, Musetti and Shelton seek the paths to the biggest upsets in the Australian Open quarters .
Three heavy favorites—Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic and Jannik Sinner—enter the quarterfinals with a combined 22-2 record against their opponents, and the draw has produced remarkably little carnage. Thirteen of the Top 16 seeds across the men’s and women’s draws have reached the quarters, including seven of eight on the ATP side. Still, a few challengers present plausible paths to a shock.
Alex de Minaur, the sixth seed, has reshaped his narrative this fortnight. “I got tired of the narrative that these big hitters can take the racquet out of my hands,” De Minaur says. The Australian is lean and compact at 6’0 and has beaten Frances Tiafoe and Alexander Bublik in straight sets in his last two matches. Bublik entered undefeated in 2026 and had won their previous two meetings; De Minaur’s mid-match dismantling was therefore notable. He has not beaten Carlos Alcaraz in five attempts and is 0-6 in Grand Slam quarterfinals, but his matches with Alcaraz have been competitive. “This is going to be the first time playing at a Grand Slam,” De Minaur says. “So I’m very keen to see how it goes.” He added assessments of Alcaraz’s development: “In the past, he’s maybe had times where he’s been able to give you a couple of cheap points here and there and kind of let opponents get into the match, and he’s been working on that,” De Minaur says of Alcaraz. “So he’s only going to make it harder.” De Minaur acknowledges the task ahead: “It just comes down to I’m going to have to bring some of my best tennis, right?”
Lorenzo Musetti faces Novak Djokovic, who received a fourth-round walkover from an injured Jakub Mensik and has not played in four days. “Age-wise, look, I think that on a given day when I’m feeling good physically and mentally, when I’m playing well, I can challenge anybody, and I still believe I can beat all of them,” Novak Djokovic said last week. Musetti notes the Serb’s resilience and status: “I think at this age, I think he was happy about it, of course, to try to be well-prepared and well-relaxed for this match,” the Italian says. “One for sure, you know, facing his character, his status as a player and as a champion,” Musetti says. “The second one of course the way he turn around sometimes from difficult situation, raising his level, never escaping from a match.” Musetti reached the Athens final recently and said, “I think I had my chances there, but I…was not cold enough to beat him.”
Ben Shelton has struggled historically against Jannik Sinner but believes changes in his game help: “His ball speed is really high; never seen anything like it,” Shelton said at Wimbledon last summer. “You don’t see anything like it when you’re going through the draw. When you play him, it’s almost like things are in double speed.” He conceded Sinner’s strengths: “It’s difficult when a guy’s hitting the ball that big, that consistently off both wings, and serving the way he is.” Shelton highlighted his net play as an advantage: “I think my game is a lot different,” Shelton says. “I think the way that I’m executing, one, at the net is going to be a huge advantage to me.” “I think that’s a piece that really helps me, because you got to play offensive tennis to beat the best guys.” Against each favorite the challengers must take risks and execute near-perfect tennis; history still tips toward the top seeds advancing in best-of-five matches.
ATP Masters Miami Open
Medvedev weathers travel woes to rally past Rei Sakamoto at Miami Open
Medvedev overcame travel delays and a lost bag to rally past Rei Sakamoto on Stadium Court in Miami.
Daniil Medvedev endured travel setbacks before his Miami Open match but ultimately produced a steady recovery to defeat Rei Sakamoto, 6-7 (10), 6-3, 6-1. The former world No. 1 arrived at Hard Rock Stadium after a delayed luggage arrival and used patience and consistency to turn a precarious start into a decisive finish.
Medvedev had already faced disruption earlier in the Sunshine Swing, nearly missing the BNP Paribas Open after being stranded in Dubai. Those off-court headaches contrasted with a strong run on court: he came into Miami off a runner-up finish in Indian Wells. That event, usually noted for slow conditions that can frustrate Medvedev, proved favorable to him this year — he thrived in the California desert and even snapped Carlos Alcaraz’s 16-match winning streak en route to the championship match.
The slow conditions in Miami initially played into the hands of his opponent. Sakamoto, a 19-year-old IMG Academy alum, claimed a 22-point tiebreaker to take the first set and had Medvedev on the ropes. But Medvedev, seeded No. 9, steadied his game on Stadium Court and found a rhythm as the match progressed.
“It’s completely different conditions [here],” Medvedev said on court after the match. “It’s always been. Usually, I feel like it’s kind of quicker in Miami—not too much, but a bit. This year, it’s slower because Indian Wells was fast, so it feels much slower. The serve can still work but in the points it’s much slower. I was losing the rhythm and I was just not ready for the ball to react the way it was reacting.”
Medvedev said he sensed a drop in his opponent’s energy as the match lengthened. “I’m super happy I managed to build up moment and also the tiredness in him because he’s still a junior in a way,” he said after the match. “It’s not easy for him. He’s going to learn from this. So, I’m happy I managed to put it up and win the match.”
ATP Masters Miami Open
Tommy Paul’s Camo, Collabs and the Quiet Work of Returning to Form
Tommy Paul blends outdoor life, a New Balance collab and a patient return to top-level tennis. Now..
Tommy Paul has spent the early weeks of the season balancing a clear on-court mission with a life built around the outdoors and a pair of new shoes. “Being an outdoor kind of guy, I wear camo every single week if not every day,” Paul said, introducing the CT-Rally v2 “Outdoor Court” edition, his first colorway collaboration with New Balance.
“I think it’s the best-looking shoe on the market in tennis,” he said. Paul described New Balance as a partner that allows him style and expression. “They do what they want, and they do it well,” he told me. “They want to give me a platform to express myself and what I’m about.”
The apparel and equipment storyline sits alongside other outdoor projects. “It’s freedom, it’s meditation, but it’s also an escape,” Paul said of fishing and hunting. “Growing up in North Carolina, we’d be fishing every weekend I wasn’t playing in the summer. It was something I absolutely loved doing. I knew that, when I got older, I’d have that kind living where you go out there fishing, harvesting, and eating. It’s even cooler now because I’m in Florida and I can do it all year round.”
Paul also unveiled a partnership with Yellowfin Yachts, a new boat he enjoyed testing and joked about with peers. “That is so funny,” he said when I called it a “yacht.” He plans to travel in it, with the Bahamas on his short list.
The on-court narrative is straightforward. The 28-year-old former No. 8 halted his 2025 season after the US Open because of a foot injury that surfaced at Wimbledon, and he returned ranked No. 23. He pushed Carlos Alcaraz at the Australian Open, reached a final in Delray Beach and cites Davis Cup qualifying alongside Ethan Quinn and Emilio Nava as a season highlight. “I’m really just focused on right now, getting everything sorted and everything locked in to play my best tennis. If I’m playing my best tennis, everything will work itself out. I’m not really too focused on a No. 3 spot, Top 5 or Top 10 spot. I’m more focused getting to a point where I can play my brand of tennis consistently, without too much lapse. That’s what separates the top guys from the rest: even on their worst days, they figure out how to win a match. I think that’s something I’m really focused on.”
Off court, Paul has launched the Kids Outdoors Foundation with fiancée Paige Lorenze and worked with a Hobe Sound school. “They had a little basketball court, so we set up some tennis nets and spent some time with the kids, taught them a little tennis.”
ATP Masters Miami Open
Auger-Aliassime notches 200th hard-court win in straight-sets Miami opener
Felix Auger-Aliassime reached his 200th hard-court win with a 7-6(3), 7-5 victory in Miami. on Sat.
Felix Auger-Aliassime began his Miami Open campaign with a hard-fought straight-sets victory, defeating Marton Fucsovics 7-6 (3), 7-5 at the Masters 1000 event on Saturday afternoon. The 25-year-old Canadian secured the milestone in a match defined by small margins and timely serving.
The win marked the 200th hard-court triumph of Auger-Aliassime’s career, moving his record on the surface to 200-115. It is a notable landmark in his progression on the ATP Tour and places him among the leading players of his generation on hard courts.
Auger-Aliassime’s achievement also has generational significance. He is the second man born in the 2000s to reach 200 hard-court wins at tour level, following Jannik Sinner. Sinner sits at 241-54 on hard courts after his opening victory in Miami today, giving context to the elite company Auger-Aliassime joins.
Saturday’s match against Fucsovics was competitive throughout. A first-set tiebreak swung Auger-Aliassime’s way 7-3, and he closed the match in the second set with a late break to seal the 7-5 finish. The result provides a positive start to his run at a Masters 1000 tournament where winning early matches is often crucial to deeper progress.
The milestone underscores Auger-Aliassime’s consistency on the most common tour surface and highlights his capacity to win tight matches on big stages. As the Miami Open progresses, his form on hard courts will be watched closely by those tracking the season’s contenders.
-
ATPAustralian OpenGrand Slam2 months agoMedvedev says he will not underestimate Learner Tien as their Australian Open rivalry resumes
-
ATPAustralian OpenGrand Slam2 months agoOffseason Focus: How Eliot Spizzirri’s Boca Raton block set up his Australian Open breakthrough
-
ATPAustralian OpenGrand Slam2 months agoJakub Mensik withdraws with abdominal injury, Novak Djokovic advances at Australian Open
