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Emerging ATP Talents Poised to Challenge Alcaraz and Sinner

Five rising ATP stars show promise to challenge Alcaraz and Sinner’s tennis dominance soon.

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The dominance of Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner in recent Grand Slam tournaments has raised the question of who might emerge as their future rivals on the ATP Tour. These two multiple-time Grand Slam champions hold the top two spots in the world rankings and have split the last seven Grand Slam titles between them.

Holger Rune, despite a recent plateau, remains a noteworthy contender. At 22, Rune has previously achieved a ranking as high as world No. 4 and secured a Masters 1000 title at the 2022 Paris Indoors. He also claimed the Barcelona Open title in April with a win over Alcaraz and was an Indian Wells finalist this year. With tennis legend Andre Agassi now mentoring him, Rune may still have the potential to mount a serious challenge.

Lloyd Mensik, 19, continues his rapid ascent, highlighted by his March Miami Open victory—his first ATP and Masters 1000 title—which pushed him into the top 25, reaching a career-high of world No. 17. Despite solid performances, Mensik has yet to advance beyond the third round in a Grand Slam, an area he will need to improve to solidify his status among the elite.

Arthur Fils, at 21, has shown significant promise with two ATP 500 titles last year and made history by reaching the quarter-finals of the first three Masters 1000 events of the current season—the youngest to do so since 1990. While an injury at the French Open caused a drop from the top 20, his impressive forehand and confidence make him a player to watch once recovered.

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Thiago Seyboth Wild Fonseca, an 18-year-old sensation from Brazil, has already secured an ATP Tour title at the Argentina Open and broke into the top 50 after a strong Wimbledon debut. Known for a powerful forehand and early maturity on the tour, Fonseca is expected to continue his rise in the coming years.

Learner Tien, ranked world No. 67, surprised many with four wins against top-10 players in 2025, including an impressive victory over Daniil Medvedev at the Australian Open. Known for his tactical intelligence rather than sheer power, the 19-year-old American is on the brink of competing with the sport’s best.

Each of these young players exhibits qualities that could eventually see them challenge the current hegemony of Alcaraz and Sinner, though consistency at Grand Slams remains the common milestone yet to be conquered.

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Analytics & Stats ATP US Open

Becker: Sinner’s serve and predictability cost him in US Open final

Becker said Sinner was ‘predictable’ and weaker on serve as Alcaraz won the US Open final again now

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Boris Becker offered a blunt assessment after Jannik Sinner was unable to defend his US Open title, falling 6-2, 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 to Carlos Alcaraz in Sunday’s men’s singles final. The loss cost Sinner the championship and allowed Alcaraz to reclaim the world No 1 ranking.

Becker pointed to a specific weakness that Alcaraz exploited throughout the match. “From the first minute to the last, Alcaraz was clearly better than all the other players and even better than Sinner,” said Becker. “In the final, he was clearly the boss. He played tennis from another planet and deserved to win the tournament.

“The big difference I noticed in this duel was on serve; Sinner was clearly weaker, and that’s unforgiving, if he has a real weakness, it’s this one.”

The defeat extended Alcaraz’s dominance in their rivalry: it was Sinner’s seventh loss to Alcaraz in eight meetings since the start of 2024, leaving Alcaraz with a 10-5 advantage in the head-to-head. During that period Sinner lost only four matches to players other than the Spaniard. Alcaraz’s victory also brought him level with Becker on two US Open titles and six Grand Slam trophies overall.

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Becker said he had expected more from Sinner and felt the Italian had not advanced in the ways Alcaraz had. “I am one who always thinks to tell the truth. I was a little disappointed. I expected more.

“But of course I was not disappointed by Alcaraz. Because he really played tennis better today than a year ago. He had more variations, he had speed changes. He played serve volley. He played backhand slice. He played forehand where you don’t see the ball.

“And I think Sinner, for the first time, he stood still with his game. He is now predictable. You know exactly what always happens. And it’s not as bad that I see it that way. It’s worse for him that Alcaraz sees it that way.

“And I think for the first time that Alcaraz really took a step forward. And Sinner stayed the same. He partly didn’t know how to win the points. Except Alcaraz hit the ball.

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“In his press conference after the match, Sinner, always said very honestly, that he [Alcaraz] has developed further in tennis and I have not. And I think it’s great that he says that. But that’s how I felt it.

“There was never a discussion for me, even after the second set, who would win this match in the end. And I didn’t see that in any other final between the two.”

Both players are scheduled to compete at the Shanghai Masters next month, where Sinner will aim to defend the title he won in 2024.

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Analytics & Stats ATP US Open

US Open 2025: form shifts, surprise runs and a mixed doubles renaissance

US Open 2025: surprises, career milestones, doubles revival and mixed fortunes across the draws fans

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The 2025 US Open produced as many storylines beyond the finals as it did inside them. Across three weeks there were returns to form, stinging exits and a clear surge in interest for doubles.

Amanda Anisimova recovered impressively from her 6-0, 6-0 loss at Wimbledon to reach the semifinals in New York and climb to a career-high No. 4. By contrast Alexander Zverev, seeded No. 3, exited in the third round to No. 25 Felix Auger-Aliassime, extending his frustration at Grand Slams.

Carlos Alcaraz asserted himself in the semifinals, pulling away from 38-year-old No. 7 seed Novak Djokovic. Djokovic, a record 428-week world No. 1, returned to competitive form after Wimbledon and completed the full set of major semifinals in 2025, rising back to No. 4. Taylor Fritz, the defending finalist and No. 4 seed, was the only American man to reach the fourth round before a loss to Djokovic. Frances Tiafoe, Tommy Paul and Ben Shelton all fell earlier, with Shelton forced to retire in his third-round match due to a shoulder injury.

Holger Rune and Stefanos Tsitsipas disappointed, with Rune losing in round two to Jan-Lennard Struff and Tsitsipas losing to Daniel Altmaier after a heated postmatch exchange that included this line from Tsitsipas: “Next time, don’t wonder why I hit you, okay? No, I’m just saying if you serve underarm. . .”

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Felix Auger-Aliassime emerged as a major story, defeating Zverev and Alex de Minaur before his run ended in the semifinals. “Well, a lot of things,” FAA said. “A lot of things. because obviously there’s the level, like the way I’m serving, the way I hit the forehand, the way I’m moving around the court, the backhand too. . . I think on top of that it’s just, yeah, the belief, the mentality, the conviction in myself that I have what it takes to win these types of matches.”

Naomi Osaka reached her first major semifinal since 2021 and credited coach Tomasz Wiktorowski: “He’s like always very proud and encouraging,” she said of him. “I feel like it kind of creates a safe space for me to, like, you know, be able to express myself and my tennis.”

The USTA’s reimagined Mixed Doubles Championship and Fan Week drove attendance figures, with Fan Week drawing 239,000 and the mixed event bringing 78,000 over two days, helping push total attendance past 1,000,000. Joe Salisbury observed: “It (the singles star-studded Mixed Doubles event) got the fans engaged in watching more doubles. So I think for that part it was a good thing. For the event, the last sort of eight, nine days, I think it’s been good. More fans were coming to watch.”

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Analytics & Stats ATP Finals

Alcaraz and Sinner match a 1984 ATP finals streak with five straight finals

Alcaraz and Sinner have met in the finals of five consecutive events where both played. A 1984 echo

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Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner have established a rare pattern of dominance on the ATP Tour, combining to win the last eight Grand Slam titles — four apiece since the start of 2024 — and meeting in three straight major finals this season, a new milestone for the men’s game in the Open Era. Their rivalry has extended beyond slams: in the last five ATP Tour tournaments in which both entered, the world No 1 and No 2 have met in the final.

That run of five consecutive finals when both players competed together is the first time in more than four decades that a pair have done so, echoing the streak set by John McEnroe and Ivan Lendl in 1984. The Alcaraz-Sinner sequence began at the Italian Open in May, when Alcaraz beat Sinner in what was the Italian’s first tournament back after his three-month doping suspension.

Weeks later the pair contested a Grand Slam final at Roland Garros, with Alcaraz saving three championship points in a match widely described as legendary. Sinner then ended the Spaniard’s Wimbledon reign, defeating him in four sets in that final. Both players withdrew from the Canadian Open but reached the Cincinnati Open final the following week, where Sinner was forced to retire five games into the match because of illness.

The rivalry produced its first US Open final between them, with Alcaraz denying Sinner a successful title defence to claim his second Flushing Meadows crown and move to a 4-1 record in finals between the two this year. As the tour moves into the Asian swing, the pair have chosen different schedules: Sinner will play the China Open and Alcaraz has opted for the Japan Open instead of defending his Beijing title. The next event they are both set to play is the Shanghai Masters, where Sinner will attempt to defend his title.

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The McEnroe-Lendl comparison is apt: in 1984 those two met in six straight finals when competing in the same event, beginning at the Masters. McEnroe won five of those encounters before Lendl overturned him in a comeback at Roland Garros. The 1984 sequence ended at Queen’s Club, and the duo finished their rivalry having met 36 times, with Lendl holding a 21-15 advantage.

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