Analytics & Stats ATP
Jannik Sinner Faces Rising Pressure from Carlos Alcaraz in ATP Rankings Battle
Jannik Sinner must sustain his form as Carlos Alcaraz closes in on the ATP No.1 ranking challenge.

Jannik Sinner, currently the world No. 1 in ATP rankings, has been urged to maintain his winning momentum in the coming weeks as he prepares for a defining summer in his pursuit to fend off rising challenger Carlos Alcaraz. Recently, Sinner solidified his status by claiming his fourth Grand Slam title at Wimbledon, defeating Alcaraz in four sets to win his maiden title at the All England Club.
At present, Sinner holds a commanding lead with 12,030 ranking points, well ahead of Alcaraz, who trails by 3,430 points with a total of 8,600 points. Despite Sinner skipping the Canadian Open in 2025 and losing 200 points from his quarterfinal appearance in 2024, his advantage remains substantial.
Both players have chosen not to participate in the Canadian Open for the second consecutive year and are set to return at the Cincinnati Open. This tournament marks the beginning of a period where points defense becomes crucial for Sinner, who must defend 1,000 points as the reigning Cincinnati champion and later 2,000 points at the US Open.
Conversely, Alcaraz has minimal points to defend at these events, with just 10 points in Cincinnati and 50 at the US Open, having faced early exits last year. Furthermore, Sinner faces a heavier burden post-US Open, needing to defend 1,000 points at the Shanghai Masters and an additional 1,500 points at the ATP Finals.
Alcaraz’s most significant points haul for the remainder of the year comes from his 500 points at the China Open last October, where he defeated Sinner in the final. Traditionally, the stretch after Wimbledon favors the current world No. 1, positioning Sinner as the likely favorite in Cincinnati and the US Open.
Paolo Bertolucci, former world No. 12, highlighted in La Gazzetta dello Sport that the Italian must be vigilant of Alcaraz, the “real rival” for the top ranking. Bertolucci stated, “Now in Cincinnati, Jannik will need to immediately deliver a high-level performance to consolidate the points he’s gained or make up for those he’ll lose. He’ll have to watch his back from the Spaniard [Alcaraz], now his only real rival for the world number one spot. The Spaniard has followed the same path as Sinner and will also restart on the scorching American hard courts of Cincinnati, but unlike the Italian, despite being behind in the rankings, he will have very few points to defend in this final stretch of the 2025 season. Only two men in command, two players with very different technical and behavioural characteristics, but both aware of the respective strengths of their main opponent.”
Both Sinner and Alcaraz, as top seeds in Cincinnati, receive first-round byes. Sinner is scheduled to face Vit Kopriva or a qualifier in his opening match, while Alcaraz will meet either Mattia Bellucci or Damir Dzumhur.
Analytics & Stats Cincinnati Open Masters
Cincinnati Open 2025: Key Women’s Singles Matchups and Predictions
Cincinnati Open women’s singles featured tough draws for Sabalenka, Swiatek, Gauff in 2025.

The Cincinnati Open women’s singles draw has been released, revealing a competitive field of 94 players and a top half brimming with compelling storylines. Aryna Sabalenka, the world No. 1 and defending champion, enters the tournament aiming to build momentum for the US Open after skipping the Canadian Open. Her section of the draw is challenging, with potential early encounters against Marketa Vondrousova, who bested her in Berlin, and 30th seed Emma Raducanu, who has shown marked improvement recently. Sabalenka could then meet 13th seed Liudmila Samsonova before a projected quarter-final against sixth seed Madison Keys, the 2019 champion. Keys faces a tough path that could include Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and ninth seed Elena Rybakina.
Iga Swiatek, seed number three, might square off against Amanda Anisimova in a quarter-final rematch of their recent Wimbledon clash. Swiatek demonstrated her top form with a dominant Wimbledon victory but was upset by Clara Tauson at Montreal this week. Swiatek’s draw appears manageable initially, with Marta Kostyuk a possible round-three opponent, though injury concerns linger. Anisimova’s return post-Wimbledon has been solid, but she faces potentially difficult matches against Anna Kalinskaya and Ekaterina Alexandrova.
In another quarter, the eighth seed Emma Navarro and fourth seed Jessica Pegula have both struggled with consistent form, potentially opening opportunities for others like 16th seed Tauson or 17th seed Belinda Bencic. Navarro encounters a formidable early-round opponent in Polina Kudermetova and could face the improved McCartney Kessler or 11th seed Karolina Muchova later.
Coco Gauff, the tournament’s second seed and 2023 champion, looks to regain her Cincinnati form after an early exit in 2024 and a disappointing serving display in Montreal. She may face tough tests early against Dayana Yastremska, her conqueror at Wimbledon, and Jelana Ostapenko, with Naomi Osaka also a potential quarter-final opponent. Osaka, benefiting from a first-round bye, could meet 10th seed Elina Svitolina en route.
Predictions include Sabalenka defeating Rybakina and later Swiatek in a projected semi-final, who herself is expected to overcome Alexandrova. Tauson is favored over Kessler and then Osaka, with Sabalenka ultimately prevailing over Tauson in the final. The Cincinnati Open promises tightly contested matches as leading contenders seek to establish form on hard courts ahead of the US Open.
Analytics & Stats ATP Masters
Ben Shelton Advances to His First Masters 1000 Final at the 2025 Canadian Open
Ben Shelton reaches his first Masters 1000 final at the Canadian Open with a win over Taylor Fritz.

Ben Shelton achieved a milestone in his rising career by defeating Taylor Fritz 6-4, 6-3 in the semifinals of the 2025 Canadian Open, marking his first appearance in a Masters 1000 final. Shelton, ranked world No. 7, faced his compatriot and No. 4 seed in Toronto and displayed formidable serving and tactical prowess. He saved both break points he encountered early in the match and secured the decisive break in the first set during the ninth game.
In the second set, Shelton broke Fritz twice, pressing his advantage to advance to the final. The 21-year-old’s serve efficiency was impressive, winning 86% of points on his first serve and 59% on his second. Meanwhile, Fritz, known for his own powerful serve, managed to claim only 57% of his service points.
After his win, Shelton expressed his excitement and determination by writing “Even more uncharted territory. Humble and Hungry” on the camera lens.
Reflecting on his performance, Shelton said, “I’ve seen so many big improvements in my game this week, that’s what I’m most happy about, how I’m executing, how little I’m hesitating, how I’m returning. There are a lot of things to be proud about and beating two top 10 guys back to back is huge for me.”
Discussing his strategy against Fritz, Shelton noted, “When he’s standing in one corner, he’s one of the best in the world at being behind the ball and hitting it harder and harder every time. I knew I had to keep him moving and I did a great job of that… I felt like I had the ball on a string. I’m just really excited to see myself executing like this, not wondering if the shot is going to go in or out, but expecting it to go in…”
At 22 years and 291 days old during the semifinal, Shelton became the youngest American since Pete Sampras at the 1992 Cincinnati Open to record consecutive wins over top 10 players at the Masters 1000 quarterfinal and semifinal stages. Additionally, Shelton stands as the youngest American to reach a Masters 1000 final since Andy Roddick, who achieved that feat at age 21 in Toronto in 2004.
In the final, Shelton will face world No. 16 Karen Khachanov, who triumphed over top seed Alexander Zverev 6-3, 4-6, 7-6(4) in the other semifinal. Shelton will seek his third ATP title in what will be his fifth career final. With 450 ranking points earned from this tournament run, Shelton has narrowed the gap to world No. 6 Novak Djokovic to 160 points and would surpass Djokovic in the rankings with a victory in the final.
Analytics & Stats ATP
Top 5 ATP Masters 1000 Finalists Who Never Claimed a Title
A look at the top ATP players who reached Masters 1000 finals but never secured the title.

Since their inception in 1990, ATP Masters 1000 tournaments have been the most prestigious events after the Grand Slams and ATP Finals. Despite their significance, a number of accomplished players have yet to capture one of these elusive titles. We profile five of the finest players who reached Masters finals but never emerged victorious.
Frenchman Gael Monfils, with 13 ATP titles including three at the ATP 500 level, made three Masters 1000 finals but fell short each time: against Novak Djokovic in Paris (2009), Robin Soderling in Paris (2010), and Rafael Nadal in Monte Carlo (2016). A career-high No. 6 in the world, Monfils also reached semi-finals in two Grand Slams and won 38 matches over top-10 opponents.
American Todd Martin reached one Masters final at the 1993 Canadian Open, losing to Mikael Pernfors. Despite eight ATP titles and two Grand Slam finals appearances, the Masters crown remained out of reach. Martin peaked at No. 4 globally and notched 34 top-10 wins in his career.
Canadian Milos Raonic, who peaked at No. 3 and accumulated eight ATP titles, was runner-up four times in Masters events, losing to Nadal and Djokovic. His lone Grand Slam final came at Wimbledon 2016, where he was defeated by Andy Murray.
Kei Nishikori won 12 ATP titles including six ATP 500 events but lost in four Masters finals, twice to Nadal and twice to Djokovic. Nishikori reached a career-high No. 4 and compiled 40 wins over top-10 opponents, with a Grand Slam final loss to Marin Cilic in 2014 marking his best Slam showing.
Undoubtedly the most decorated player without a Masters 1000 title is Yevgeny Kafelnikov. The former world No. 1 and dual Grand Slam champion won 26 ATP titles, earned Olympic gold in 2000, but lost all five Masters finals he contested to the likes of Andrei Medvedev, Thomas Enqvist, and Sebastian Grosjean. His career included six seasons in the top six and 46 wins over top-10 players.
Other notable names without a Masters title include Richard Gasquet, Fernando Gonzalez, Kevin Anderson, Matteo Berrettini, Fernando Verdasco, and Nick Kyrgios.
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