Analytics & Stats ATP
Petchey: Sinner and Alcaraz have the profile to overtake Djokovic’s Slam record
Petchey: surfaces are similar now; Sinner and Alcaraz have a real chance to pass Djokovic. over time

Mark Petchey believes Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz can ultimately overtake Novak Djokovic’s haul of Grand Slams, citing a change in surface play that narrows the differences between the majors.
Djokovic moved past Rafael Nadal’s total when he won the 2023 French Open and later extended his record to 24 with victory at the US Open. That total now equals Margaret Court’s 24, although Court won 13 of hers before the Open Era.
With Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer retired on 22 and 20 majors respectively, Alcaraz sits on five Grand Slam titles after winning this year’s French Open and Sinner holds four following his Wimbledon triumph.
Petchey, who coached Andy Murray early on his career and also mentored Emma Raducanu this year, argues the modern game makes multiple major wins more accessible. “I think it’s possible that either of them surpass Novak Djokovic’s major wins total because I think the surfaces are pretty similar now,” he told OLBG ..
“We can’t talk about it like it was the 80s and the 90s when clay was completely different to grass and it was virtually impossible for Pete Sampras to win on clay compared to grass.
“Our benchmark needs to change with the fact that the four majors are very close in terms of playability these days. From what we thought in the past was extraordinary with 14 titles for Sampras, is now probably not going to be as extraordinary.
“I still think 20 is a massive number. If I was to pick one that was going to make it before the other, I would say Jannik could get there maybe before Carlos. I think it will be done. I do think we’ll see other players win 20 majors.”
The two young players have dominated recent Slams, taking the last seven majors between them. Alcaraz leads their head-to-head 9-5 and has won six of their last seven meetings, including the Cincinnati Open match when Sinner retired trailing 0-5 because of illness. Sinner won the Wimbledon final while Alcaraz prevailed in the French Open final.
Petchey added: “Alcaraz is going to be chomping at the bit to win it. These two are going to go head-to-head over the next decade, stealing each other’s trophies.
“Obviously, it will sting losing his first major final but as he said afterwards it was going to happen at some stage, and it happens to the best. It’s happened to him now and I think that’s just fuel for him to get better, to figure out how to play Jannik.
“It has felt like his peak at times was better than Jannik’s. I’m starting to wonder whether that’s true. Jannik lost to him at Roland Garros, but should have won and he won comfortably at Wimbledon.
“I’m interested to see how that rivalry develops, because I do think that Jannik has got the edge at the moment by a small margin.
“It’s going to be up to Carlos to respond. That was the beauty of the great rivalry that we had with Roger and Rafa and Novak. They constantly made each other better.
“It’ll be interesting to see how they both develop their patterns of play. We’ve seen both Sinner and Alcaraz already change their backhands. We’ve seen both change their serves. And I’m sure there’ll be more tweaks along the way.
“We’ve seen pictures of Jannik serving and volleying in Monte Carlo. It is definitely something that he’s keeping up his sleeve and working on until he feels comfortable. They’re just pushing each other.”
Analytics & Stats ATP Grand Slam
Alcaraz and Sinner: a third straight major final and the questions New York poses
Alcaraz and Sinner meet in a third straight major final, testing form, fitness and tactical edge now

Two players arrive in the same Grand Slam final for a third consecutive major, and their recent run together has altered the landscape. They have contested five straight events in which both entered and both reached the championship match: Rome, Roland Garros, Wimbledon, Cincinnati and the Open. That sequence includes three Slams and three surfaces.
Jannik Sinner tried to deflect a personal edge question with a practical answer. “On court we like seeing each, you know, because it means that, considering our ranking, that we are doing well in the tournament.”
At the Open the dynamics have been notable. Carlos Alcaraz reached this final without dropping a set for the first time in a Slam run, and on Friday he ran Novak Djokovic ragged over three mostly uncompetitive sets. “Probably I’m just getting mature,” Alcaraz said.
Sinner’s path was more variable. He dropped two-set contests to Denis Shapovalov and Felix Auger Aliassime, yet he dismantled Alexei Popyrin, Alexander Bublik and Lorenzo Musetti. He required more than three hours to subdue Auger Aliassime on Friday night and said he felt a “twitch” in his abs that slowed his serve and forced him to get treatment off court. Sinner has been No. 1 for the last 65 weeks, is the defending champion, and has won the last three hard-court majors. He beat Alcaraz in their most recent completed match, the Wimbledon final, and owns a 20-8 record in finals and 17-6 in hard-court finals.
There are strong arguments for both men. Alcaraz leads their head-to-head 9-5 and is 6-2 on hard courts, and he has won 45 of his last 47 matches while improving his serve over the summer. Sinner has a record of bringing Alcaraz to peak levels; in Beijing and Roland Garros their matches reached final-set tiebreakers. At Wimbledon the script changed, with Sinner taking the early initiative, hitting more winners and coming to the net far more often. Alcaraz admitted: “At some points I didn’t know what I had to do in the match because from the baseline I was feeling he was better than me, and I couldn’t do anything about it,” adding, “I think the big key was the second serve. He was returning really well the second serve. Thanks to that, he was in the position to attack the second ball every time.”
Alcaraz says he learns from these encounters, and the likely tactical themes for the final are clear: seize initiative early, approach the net more, vary with drop shots and target the second serve. Which approach will win out on Sunday remains the central question.
Analytics & Stats ATP
Rick Macci: Why Novak Djokovic is likely to continue after the 2025 US Open
Macci: ‘I think he’ll keep playing’ — Djokovic likely to continue while he still loves tennis 2025

Novak Djokovic’s run at the 2025 US Open ended in the semi-finals with a 6-4, 7-6(4), 6-2 defeat to Carlos Alcaraz. The loss completed a year in which Djokovic reached the semi-finals at all four Grand Slam events, a notable feat as he turned 38 in May.
Across those four major semi-finals in 2025, Djokovic was unable to take a set, with physical limitations repeatedly noted. Before New York he had suffered straight-set semi-final defeats to Jannik Sinner at both Wimbledon and the French Open. At the Australian Open he retired after losing a gruelling first set to Alexander Zverev when a hamstring issue — sustained in his quarter-final win over Alcaraz — forced him out.
The Serbian’s most recent Grand Slam victory remains his 24th, earned at the 2023 US Open. Since the start of 2024 he has claimed two titles: last year’s Paris Olympics and the 2025 Geneva Open.
Rick Macci offered a perspective on Djokovic’s future and probability of retirement. Macci, who coached Venus and Serena Williams during their childhood, said: “I think he’ll keep playing simply because, once again, kind of like Venus [Williams] — but obviously it’s different – he just loves the competition,” said the American.
He added: “Why would you want to put your body through that, get up every day, he has a family… you’re not doing it for a paycheck! He just loves the competition. And I think if he feels he can win, okay, he’ll continue to play.
“Now, Roland Garros, I don’t know. I just think because the rallies are longer, you gotta bring your breakfast, lunch and dinner on red clay. It’s a little different situation. Grass, to me, was his best shot.
“But yeah, I think he’ll keep playing because he loves the competition. But, the minute he doesn’t play the Grand Slams; game, set, match — he’ll call it a career.
“But as long as he still loves it and he feels he has a chance, he’s gonna go for it. And never, ever, ever underestimate the heart of a champion.”
On the realistic path to another major, Macci argued luck and the state of rivals would play a role. “I think the only way he could win a Slam… it’s not gonna happen on clay, it’s just too physical, three out of five, I just think it’s too much on the body,” Macci assessed.
“And if the draw would break correctly, I know that happens with anybody, but let’s face it, if the draw broke correctly, if Alcaraz or Sinner got hurt, or you got a couple of walkovers… if things broke for him, absolutely [Djokovic could win].”
Analytics & Stats US Open WTA
Sabalenka favoured by Robson as Anisimova seeks first major at US Open
Robson leans towards Sabalenka in US Open final, highlighting her mental strength and routines. 2025

The 2025 US Open women’s final at Flushing Meadows pits World No 1 Aryna Sabalenka against Amanda Anisimova in the pair’s 10th career meeting. Anisimova leads the head-to-head 6-3 and prevailed in their most recent match, a Wimbledon semi-final in July, 6-4, 4-6, 6-4.
Sabalenka arrives as the defending champion and is chasing a second US Open title and a fourth Grand Slam crown. The 27-year-old Belarusian was also runner-up at the Australian Open and the French Open this year, losing those finals to Madison Keys and Coco Gauff respectively. Anisimova, ranked ninth, is seeking her maiden major. The 24-year-old American reached her first Grand Slam final at Wimbledon but was defeated 0-6, 0-6 by Iga Swiatek.
Both women won demanding three-set semi-finals in New York. Sabalenka beat Jessica Pegula, while Anisimova overcame Naomi Osaka to reach the title match.
Former British No 1 Laura Robson assessed the finalists and made a prediction on the eve of the match. “It was four incredible ball strikers [in the semi-finals], and then the two faster players came through, in terms of ball speed,” said the former world No 27.
“They were playing just lights out [tennis], especially Anisimova. I think she’s got the fastest backhand of anyone in the tournament, including the guys still left in the draw.
“I am kind of expecting Sabalenka to come through this final. You didn’t even ask me for a prediction, but I am leaning that way because of how she handled the situation in the third set against Pegula, saving all those break points, how she saved them as well with some of the best tennis of the entire tournament.
“We saw her regroup in real time, you know, each moment she stepped up. I think mentally, she wants it more than anyone else.
“She has done work on herself since that Wimbledon semi-final and we saw that against Pegula that she just stayed calm. She didn’t let the situation get on top of her and she also didn’t let the crowd affect her in any way, that’s definitely going to play a part in the final.
“Again, we saw her go through the motions and her routines and then just stay cool under pressure so I think, yeah, mentally she looks at the very top of her game.”
Ryan Harrison, who reached a career-high ranking of 40, also offered thoughts on Anisimova. “We have seen her smiling in some of the tense moments, which I think is a little bit experience on her, just learning how to manage everything that you are dealing with out there,” he said.
“I think it’s really important for her to try and have fun out there in the final. You want to get out there and, you know in the Wimbledon final, not to bring that up too much, she looked very tense, she looked like a little shell-shocked, so I think it’s important to see her smiling.
“I think I expect to see her having the crowd behind her. If she gets going quickly early and the crowd becomes a factor and you get that adrenaline rush, she can be a dangerous person to play against.”
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