Analytics & Stats ATP
Nadal on Alcaraz and Sinner: contrasting styles ahead of the US Open final
Nadal contrasts Sinner’s forehand rhythm with Alcaraz’s unpredictability ahead of US Open. in 2025US

Rafael Nadal offered a detailed read of Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner’s games as they prepare to meet in the 2025 US Open final. Their rivalry has produced a run of finals between the pair and this will be their fifth consecutive meeting in a final at tournaments they entered.
The recent sequence of results underlines the closeness of the matchup. Alcaraz beat Sinner in straight sets in the Rome Masters final, then recovered from two sets down to win the French Open in five sets, saving three championship points in the process. Sinner answered with a four-set victory over Alcaraz in the Wimbledon final. Alcaraz later claimed the Cincinnati Masters title after Sinner retired with illness in the opening set of that final.
In an interview with The Athletic, Nadal broke down the differences between the two players and what makes their matches compelling:
“He (Sinner) puts a rhythm on the forehand that is very difficult to follow,” assessed Nadal , who won 22 Grand Slam titles. “He’s very quick on picking the ball early and he’s quick on the transition from defending to attacking.
“Carlos is more magic, he’s more unpredictable, he can play at a level that probably sometimes Jannik cannot. But at the same time, he’s making more mistakes, too – he can play better, but he can play worse, and it’s about finding the balance.
“Carlos has all the shots, sometimes he’s making mistakes, but he’s going for the shots and it’s more amazing to see because, at the end, it’s more unexpected and unpredictable.
“I like it, it’s very funny to see Carlos play because he’s able to produce amazing things and at the same time, he’s able to have mistakes, and that’s human.
“From my point of view, Carlos can improve a little bit [on] the tactical way to approach some matches. Sometimes it feels like he always plays for every big shot, and sometimes, he doesn’t need that much.
“That’s why I’m interested in how they evolve, because I think both of them have room to improve, and they are so good.”
Nadal also reflected on the French Open final between the two:
“The match was unbelievable because it was super emotional at the end,” Nadal said.
“For me, the first three sets were not that high-quality tennis. It was a normal final. Then, fourth and fifth sets were a high-quality fight.
“That’s from my point of view, talking about if I had to play against them. The fourth and fifth sets were super, super high-level tennis, emotional, had a little bit of everything. Before, for me, I think Carlos didn’t play at his level. From my perspective, I think he was a little bit wrong tactically.
“Jannik, of course, he was unlucky up 0-40, but when he had the chance to go for it, I think he was not playing with the right determination.
“I think he stopped doing what he was doing good — going for the shots and playing with this extra speed on the ball at the moment that he had to take advantage. He didn’t play as aggressive as he was doing before.
“But overall, if we put the full picture, the final was unforgettable. It was amazing. The end of the match was one of the most emotional that I saw and I was lucky to see that as a fan from home.”
Analytics & Stats ATP Grand Slam
Alcaraz and Sinner: a third straight major final and the questions New York poses
Alcaraz and Sinner meet in a third straight major final, testing form, fitness and tactical edge now

Two players arrive in the same Grand Slam final for a third consecutive major, and their recent run together has altered the landscape. They have contested five straight events in which both entered and both reached the championship match: Rome, Roland Garros, Wimbledon, Cincinnati and the Open. That sequence includes three Slams and three surfaces.
Jannik Sinner tried to deflect a personal edge question with a practical answer. “On court we like seeing each, you know, because it means that, considering our ranking, that we are doing well in the tournament.”
At the Open the dynamics have been notable. Carlos Alcaraz reached this final without dropping a set for the first time in a Slam run, and on Friday he ran Novak Djokovic ragged over three mostly uncompetitive sets. “Probably I’m just getting mature,” Alcaraz said.
Sinner’s path was more variable. He dropped two-set contests to Denis Shapovalov and Felix Auger Aliassime, yet he dismantled Alexei Popyrin, Alexander Bublik and Lorenzo Musetti. He required more than three hours to subdue Auger Aliassime on Friday night and said he felt a “twitch” in his abs that slowed his serve and forced him to get treatment off court. Sinner has been No. 1 for the last 65 weeks, is the defending champion, and has won the last three hard-court majors. He beat Alcaraz in their most recent completed match, the Wimbledon final, and owns a 20-8 record in finals and 17-6 in hard-court finals.
There are strong arguments for both men. Alcaraz leads their head-to-head 9-5 and is 6-2 on hard courts, and he has won 45 of his last 47 matches while improving his serve over the summer. Sinner has a record of bringing Alcaraz to peak levels; in Beijing and Roland Garros their matches reached final-set tiebreakers. At Wimbledon the script changed, with Sinner taking the early initiative, hitting more winners and coming to the net far more often. Alcaraz admitted: “At some points I didn’t know what I had to do in the match because from the baseline I was feeling he was better than me, and I couldn’t do anything about it,” adding, “I think the big key was the second serve. He was returning really well the second serve. Thanks to that, he was in the position to attack the second ball every time.”
Alcaraz says he learns from these encounters, and the likely tactical themes for the final are clear: seize initiative early, approach the net more, vary with drop shots and target the second serve. Which approach will win out on Sunday remains the central question.
Analytics & Stats ATP
Rick Macci: Why Novak Djokovic is likely to continue after the 2025 US Open
Macci: ‘I think he’ll keep playing’ — Djokovic likely to continue while he still loves tennis 2025

Novak Djokovic’s run at the 2025 US Open ended in the semi-finals with a 6-4, 7-6(4), 6-2 defeat to Carlos Alcaraz. The loss completed a year in which Djokovic reached the semi-finals at all four Grand Slam events, a notable feat as he turned 38 in May.
Across those four major semi-finals in 2025, Djokovic was unable to take a set, with physical limitations repeatedly noted. Before New York he had suffered straight-set semi-final defeats to Jannik Sinner at both Wimbledon and the French Open. At the Australian Open he retired after losing a gruelling first set to Alexander Zverev when a hamstring issue — sustained in his quarter-final win over Alcaraz — forced him out.
The Serbian’s most recent Grand Slam victory remains his 24th, earned at the 2023 US Open. Since the start of 2024 he has claimed two titles: last year’s Paris Olympics and the 2025 Geneva Open.
Rick Macci offered a perspective on Djokovic’s future and probability of retirement. Macci, who coached Venus and Serena Williams during their childhood, said: “I think he’ll keep playing simply because, once again, kind of like Venus [Williams] — but obviously it’s different – he just loves the competition,” said the American.
He added: “Why would you want to put your body through that, get up every day, he has a family… you’re not doing it for a paycheck! He just loves the competition. And I think if he feels he can win, okay, he’ll continue to play.
“Now, Roland Garros, I don’t know. I just think because the rallies are longer, you gotta bring your breakfast, lunch and dinner on red clay. It’s a little different situation. Grass, to me, was his best shot.
“But yeah, I think he’ll keep playing because he loves the competition. But, the minute he doesn’t play the Grand Slams; game, set, match — he’ll call it a career.
“But as long as he still loves it and he feels he has a chance, he’s gonna go for it. And never, ever, ever underestimate the heart of a champion.”
On the realistic path to another major, Macci argued luck and the state of rivals would play a role. “I think the only way he could win a Slam… it’s not gonna happen on clay, it’s just too physical, three out of five, I just think it’s too much on the body,” Macci assessed.
“And if the draw would break correctly, I know that happens with anybody, but let’s face it, if the draw broke correctly, if Alcaraz or Sinner got hurt, or you got a couple of walkovers… if things broke for him, absolutely [Djokovic could win].”
Analytics & Stats US Open WTA
Sabalenka favoured by Robson as Anisimova seeks first major at US Open
Robson leans towards Sabalenka in US Open final, highlighting her mental strength and routines. 2025

The 2025 US Open women’s final at Flushing Meadows pits World No 1 Aryna Sabalenka against Amanda Anisimova in the pair’s 10th career meeting. Anisimova leads the head-to-head 6-3 and prevailed in their most recent match, a Wimbledon semi-final in July, 6-4, 4-6, 6-4.
Sabalenka arrives as the defending champion and is chasing a second US Open title and a fourth Grand Slam crown. The 27-year-old Belarusian was also runner-up at the Australian Open and the French Open this year, losing those finals to Madison Keys and Coco Gauff respectively. Anisimova, ranked ninth, is seeking her maiden major. The 24-year-old American reached her first Grand Slam final at Wimbledon but was defeated 0-6, 0-6 by Iga Swiatek.
Both women won demanding three-set semi-finals in New York. Sabalenka beat Jessica Pegula, while Anisimova overcame Naomi Osaka to reach the title match.
Former British No 1 Laura Robson assessed the finalists and made a prediction on the eve of the match. “It was four incredible ball strikers [in the semi-finals], and then the two faster players came through, in terms of ball speed,” said the former world No 27.
“They were playing just lights out [tennis], especially Anisimova. I think she’s got the fastest backhand of anyone in the tournament, including the guys still left in the draw.
“I am kind of expecting Sabalenka to come through this final. You didn’t even ask me for a prediction, but I am leaning that way because of how she handled the situation in the third set against Pegula, saving all those break points, how she saved them as well with some of the best tennis of the entire tournament.
“We saw her regroup in real time, you know, each moment she stepped up. I think mentally, she wants it more than anyone else.
“She has done work on herself since that Wimbledon semi-final and we saw that against Pegula that she just stayed calm. She didn’t let the situation get on top of her and she also didn’t let the crowd affect her in any way, that’s definitely going to play a part in the final.
“Again, we saw her go through the motions and her routines and then just stay cool under pressure so I think, yeah, mentally she looks at the very top of her game.”
Ryan Harrison, who reached a career-high ranking of 40, also offered thoughts on Anisimova. “We have seen her smiling in some of the tense moments, which I think is a little bit experience on her, just learning how to manage everything that you are dealing with out there,” he said.
“I think it’s really important for her to try and have fun out there in the final. You want to get out there and, you know in the Wimbledon final, not to bring that up too much, she looked very tense, she looked like a little shell-shocked, so I think it’s important to see her smiling.
“I think I expect to see her having the crowd behind her. If she gets going quickly early and the crowd becomes a factor and you get that adrenaline rush, she can be a dangerous person to play against.”
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