ATP BNP Paribas Open Masters
Indian Wells Final Preview: Sinner vs Medvedev — form, history and match-up
Sinner’s recent edge versus Medvedev meets Medvedev’s 2026 revival and big Alcaraz victory. On Sunday, start 5pm ET
Start Time: Not before 5:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 15
This Indian Wells final is as much about recent form as it is about a long-running rivalry. Sinner carried a persistent problem early in the matchup: from 2020 through the 2023 Miami final, Medvedev won their first six meetings. When Sinner finally broke through against him in the 2023 Beijing final, something clicked. A month later, he would go on to beat Novak Djokovic for the first time. Two months after that, he would beat Djokovic and Medvedev back to back to win his first major title, at the Australian Open.
After losing his first six matches to him, Sinner has won eight of the last nine. That run peaked in the 2024 Australian Open final, which Medvedev led two sets to love, and it helped send Sinner on a path to No. 1. Medvedev, by contrast, experienced a gradual decline that finished with him out of the Top 10 and split from his long-time coach by the end of 2025.
Medvedev has returned to strong form in 2026. He has a new coach, two titles this year and a 10-match winning streak, capped by a high-profile victory over Carlos Alcaraz. Medvedev described his own level this week: “I feel like I’m playing great, very good tennis,” Medvedev says. “I never want to jump into conclusions like best tennis of my life or whatever. I’m playing very good.” He also emphasised his confidence and willingness to dictate points: “Right now, I’m in confidence and when I’m in confidence, I always said I feel like I’m an aggressive player, especially on my serve,” Medvedev says. “It’s a bit different on the return. But even on the return, whenever I get the opportunity with one great return, and today was the same, I tried to dictate.”
Sinner remains the player who reached No. 1 and who has dominated this pairing recently. “He’s been, in the past, a player who made me improve a lot,” Sinner says of Medvedev. The match-up promises an intriguing contrast: Sinner’s superior ground-stroke pace versus Medvedev’s renewed aggression and depth. That combination sets up an excellent final.
ATP Masters Miami Invitational
Djokovic Withdraws From Miami Open Because of Right Shoulder Injury, Faces Top-3 Drop
Djokovic withdraws from Miami Open with right shoulder injury; will drop out of Top 3rd on March 30.
Novak Djokovic withdrew from the Miami Open on Sunday, citing a right shoulder injury, and will not defend the title he chased to the final a year ago. The six-time champion had been scheduled to play at the second stop of the Sunshine Double but pulled out following a tough run at Indian Wells.
Djokovic was edged by Jack Draper at Indian Wells on Wednesday, losing in a decisive tiebreaker to the reigning BNP Paribas Open champion. That match followed his Australian Open run, where the 38-year-old ousted Jannik Sinner to reach the final. Through two hard-court appearances this season Djokovic is 7-2.
Because he will not defend his Miami points, Djokovic is set to lose 650 points from the rankings. Combined with Alexander Zverev defending only 100 points after a 2025 round-of-16 exit, that points loss will cause Djokovic to fall out of the Top 3 on March 30. Other players positioned to move ahead with deep runs at Hard Rock Stadium include Lorenzo Musetti, Alex de Minaur and Ben Shelton.
The timing of the withdrawal comes ahead of the European clay-court swing, where Djokovic has opportunities to regain ground. He enters the clay schedule with relatively little to defend: only 20 points across the three Masters 1000 events in Monte Carlo, Madrid and Rome, offering a clear path to recoup rankings points on red clay.
Tournament organizers provided the update citing the shoulder issue. The withdrawal ends Djokovic’s bid at Miami for this year and reshapes the immediate rankings picture as the tour transitions from North American hard courts to the clay season.
1000 ATP BNP Paribas Open
Sinner reaches first Indian Wells final, mulls midnight F1 as Medvedev looms
Sinner beat Zverev to reach his first Indian Wells final; will he watch midnight F1? Meets Dua Lipa.
Jannik Sinner reached a milestone at the BNP Paribas Open, advancing to his first opportunity to play for the tournament trophy with a 6-2, 6-4 victory over Alexander Zverev. Sinner did not drop serve in the match and moved into his 10th career ATP Masters 1000 final.
Speaking to Steve Weissman and Prakash Amritraj after the win, the world No. 2 outlined how he will balance immediate recovery, match preparation and a personal interest off court. “Yes and no. For me, we’re all quite in shape to play a couple days in a row. You always go on court in any case. There is the tension. In the final days, it’s always very different.”
He added a lighter, personal note about a packed evening schedule. “It is also an important night, because there’s also the Formula 1. But it is at midnight, so it’s not ideal. So I might not watch it. Yesterday, there was the sprint race. I always try to find a way to see what I want to see.”
Sinner also spent time with Grammy Award winner Dua Lipa and her fiancé, actor Callum Turner, after his semifinal. At the time of his media session his opponent for Sunday’s final had been decided elsewhere on the draw.
With Medvedev handing Carlos Alcaraz his first defeat of the 2026 season, Sinner offered his assessment of Daniil Medvedev’s form: “He’s back to a very, very high level. Very big serve, I feel like. he’s returning very well. Very, very deep,” he said. “Everyone is trying to be slightly more aggressive. Sascha today tried to be more aggressive. He didn’t play his best tennis today, I feel like, but everyone is trying to push. And I think Daniil has found again a good balance on court, winning a title in Dubai, coming here, making again great results.”
Sinner will prepare to face Medvedev on what is forecast to be another hot day, aiming to convert this first shot at the BNP Paribas Open title into a championship.
ATP BNP Paribas Open Masters
Medvedev halts Alcaraz’s flawless start to reach Indian Wells final
Medvedev halts Alcaraz’s 16-0 start, wins 6-3, 7-6(3) at Indian Wells; will meet Sinner in final Sun
Daniil Medvedev ended Carlos Alcaraz’s perfect start to the 2026 season with a straight-sets victory in the Indian Wells semifinals, defeating the world No. 1 6-3, 7-6 (3).
Alcaraz entered the match 16-0 for the year, but Medvedev produced the result that had eluded him since the 2023 US Open, registering his first win over Alcaraz since that major. The victory also marked his first triumph over a reigning No. 1 since he beat then-No. 1 Jannik Sinner at Wimbledon in 2024.
Medvedev’s win sets up a title match against Sinner, who is currently ranked No. 2. Sinner advanced to the final after the earlier semifinal, in which he defeated Alexander Zverev 6-2, 6-4.
The outcome hands Medvedev a significant momentum shift at Indian Wells and denies Alcaraz a continuation of his unbeaten run to start the season. It also renews a high-stakes matchup for the title, with Sinner and Medvedev meeting for the championship on Sunday.
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ATPAustralian OpenGrand Slam2 months agoMedvedev says he will not underestimate Learner Tien as their Australian Open rivalry resumes
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Australian OpenAustralian Open women's drawGrand Slam2 months agoSwiatek shuts down reporter who spoiled her Australian Open draw
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ATPAustralian OpenGrand Slam2 months agoAlcaraz extends flawless Grand Slam opening streak to 20-0 with straight-sets win
