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Petchey: Sinner and Alcaraz have the profile to overtake Djokovic’s Slam record

Petchey: surfaces are similar now; Sinner and Alcaraz have a real chance to pass Djokovic. over time

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Mark Petchey believes Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz can ultimately overtake Novak Djokovic’s haul of Grand Slams, citing a change in surface play that narrows the differences between the majors.

Djokovic moved past Rafael Nadal’s total when he won the 2023 French Open and later extended his record to 24 with victory at the US Open. That total now equals Margaret Court’s 24, although Court won 13 of hers before the Open Era.

With Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer retired on 22 and 20 majors respectively, Alcaraz sits on five Grand Slam titles after winning this year’s French Open and Sinner holds four following his Wimbledon triumph.

Petchey, who coached Andy Murray early on his career and also mentored Emma Raducanu this year, argues the modern game makes multiple major wins more accessible. “I think it’s possible that either of them surpass Novak Djokovic’s major wins total because I think the surfaces are pretty similar now,” he told OLBG ..

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“We can’t talk about it like it was the 80s and the 90s when clay was completely different to grass and it was virtually impossible for Pete Sampras to win on clay compared to grass.

“Our benchmark needs to change with the fact that the four majors are very close in terms of playability these days. From what we thought in the past was extraordinary with 14 titles for Sampras, is now probably not going to be as extraordinary.

“I still think 20 is a massive number. If I was to pick one that was going to make it before the other, I would say Jannik could get there maybe before Carlos. I think it will be done. I do think we’ll see other players win 20 majors.”

The two young players have dominated recent Slams, taking the last seven majors between them. Alcaraz leads their head-to-head 9-5 and has won six of their last seven meetings, including the Cincinnati Open match when Sinner retired trailing 0-5 because of illness. Sinner won the Wimbledon final while Alcaraz prevailed in the French Open final.

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Petchey added: “Alcaraz is going to be chomping at the bit to win it. These two are going to go head-to-head over the next decade, stealing each other’s trophies.

“Obviously, it will sting losing his first major final but as he said afterwards it was going to happen at some stage, and it happens to the best. It’s happened to him now and I think that’s just fuel for him to get better, to figure out how to play Jannik.

“It has felt like his peak at times was better than Jannik’s. I’m starting to wonder whether that’s true. Jannik lost to him at Roland Garros, but should have won and he won comfortably at Wimbledon.

“I’m interested to see how that rivalry develops, because I do think that Jannik has got the edge at the moment by a small margin.

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“It’s going to be up to Carlos to respond. That was the beauty of the great rivalry that we had with Roger and Rafa and Novak. They constantly made each other better.

“It’ll be interesting to see how they both develop their patterns of play. We’ve seen both Sinner and Alcaraz already change their backhands. We’ve seen both change their serves. And I’m sure there’ll be more tweaks along the way.

“We’ve seen pictures of Jannik serving and volleying in Monte Carlo. It is definitely something that he’s keeping up his sleeve and working on until he feels comfortable. They’re just pushing each other.”

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Analytics & Stats ATP US Open

Alcaraz and Sinner set to clear $50m career mark with US Open final payday

US Open winner will pass $50m in career prize money as Alcaraz and Sinner meet in New York final….

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Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner arrive at the US Open final with more than a title at stake. Beyond the Grand Slam crown, the winner will vault past the $50m career prize-money mark and become only the sixth player in history to do so.

Prize money on the ATP Tour has climbed rapidly in recent years, and the US Open has led the increases this season. The tournament has boosted payouts across the board: the men’s and women’s singles runner-up prizes rose by 39% and beaten finalists are scheduled to receive $2.5m. The champion’s cheque of roughly $5m will push either Alcaraz or Sinner over the $50m threshold.

That potential milestone comes as the two highest-ranked players on the men’s side continue a dominant run. Between them they have claimed the last seven Grand Slam singles titles. The current leaders on the all-time prize-money list remain Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer, with Andy Murray in fourth, but Alcaraz and Sinner are closing in fast.

Alcaraz has been candid about his priorities. “I love playing tennis. You know, most of the time I don’t think about the money,” said Alcaraz.

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“I just play for love or for fun. But you have to be realistic. You have to think that you want to earn money, you know, and that’s it.

“The money in Saudi Arabia is the most, highest prize money ever in history, so that was a good motivation, at least for me.”

Off-court, Alcaraz’s earnings are supplemented by a string of long-standing sponsors including Nike, Rolex, BMW, Babolat, Calvin Klein, Evian and Louis Vuitton. Sinner also benefits from lucrative agreements with Nike, Gucci, Rolex, Lavazza and Head. The draft notes that Sinner served a three-month ban earlier this year after a positive drug test; his commercial deals were not affected.

Whoever lifts the trophy in New York will move up the historical earnings rankings and underline how rapidly prize-money benchmarks are changing in men’s tennis.

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All-time prize money winners

1. Novak Djokovic, $188,934,053

2. Rafael Nadal $134,946,100

3. Roger Federer $130,594

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4. Andy Murray $64,687,542

5. Alexander Zverev $54,455,659

6. Carlos Alcaraz $48,486,628

7. Daniil Medvedev $46,936,309

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8. Jannik Sinner $46,279,987

9. Pete Sampras $43,280,489

10. Stan Wawrinka $37,634,708

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Analytics & Stats ATP US Open

Sinner and Alcaraz Renew Rivalry in US Open Final with No 1 at Stake

Sinner and Alcaraz meet in the US Open final; the match decides this season’s world No 1. on Sunday.

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The US Open final brings the matchup many expected before the tournament began: Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz meeting for Grand Slam honours. It is the third consecutive major final between the two this season and the first time in the Open Era that the same pair have contested three major finals in a single season. The winner will extend an eight-event stretch in which every Grand Slam has been won by either Sinner or Alcaraz, leaving them three tournaments short of the Federer-Nadal duopoly record.

Beyond the title, the match is a straight shootout for the world No 1 ranking. Sinner, the defending champion, bids to become the first man since Roger Federer in 2008 to defend the US Open. Alcaraz aims to reclaim the trophy he first won in 2022.

Twelve months earlier their US Open fortunes were sharply different. Defying the then-emerging controversy of his failed drug tests from earlier in 2024, world No 1 Sinner stormed to his second major title and his first US Open, collecting 2,000 ranking points. Alcaraz, fresh from winning Wimbledon and the French Open that summer, was stunned in the second round by Botic van de Zandschulp and earned 50 points.

Alcaraz closed the gap on Sinner’s lead at the ATP 1000 event this summer, lifting the title after the Italian retired with illness in the final. That result moved Alcaraz to within 2,000 points of Sinner heading into the US Open and gave him a clear path back to No 1.

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Accounting for points to defend from 2024, Alcaraz’s official total of 9,590 fell only to 9,550 once round-one points were guaranteed, while Sinner’s official 11,480 dropped to a live total of 9,490 after removing 1,990. A Sinner victory would leave him on 11,480 with Alcaraz on 10,840. An Alcaraz win would flip the positions: Alcaraz to 11,540 and Sinner to 10,780.

Sinner first reached No 1 in June 2024, replacing Novak Djokovic, and has not relinquished the spot since, accumulating 65 weeks at the top. Alcaraz has spent 36 weeks as world No 1, across four separate spells, and has not held the ranking since September 2023.

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Analytics & Stats US Open WTA

Composure and power: what Navratilova and Robson saw in Sabalenka’s US Open defence

Sabalenka used composure and power to retain the US Open; Navratilova and Robson praised her widely.

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Aryna Sabalenka retained the US Open title with a straight-sets victory over Amanda Anisimova, a win that carried both a record prize and the weight of earlier near-misses. Sabalenka collected a record-breaking $5m as champion, while Anisimova earned $2.5m after suffering a second successive Grand Slam final defeat following her Wimbledon loss in July.

The final finished 6-3, 7-6 and featured frequent swings of momentum. Sabalenka had fallen short at the Australian Open and French Open finals earlier in the season and had been beaten by Anisimova in the Wimbledon semi-finals, but she converted those near misses into a successful title defence in New York.

Eighteen-time Grand Slam singles champion Martina Navratilova highlighted two defining qualities on display. “For a match that was 6-3, 7-6, there were a lot of momentum changes within the match,” said Navratilova. “Aryna Sabalenka showed just what a champion she is, because she had a lot of pressure on her – she lost finals at the Australian Open and French Open. “Amanda Anisimova has got to keep her head up high. She held her own here today and is now in the conversation at all of the majors. “Sabalenka just had a little bit more firepower and composure. Feeling the pressure, she did not falter. She held her nerve brilliantly in the tiebreaker.”

Former British No 1 Laura Robson, observing courtside, underlined Sabalenka’s ability to regroup after being broken when serving for the match at 5-4 in the second set. “Sitting courtside, it was so fun for me to see Sabalenka regroup when things could have taken a turn in the second set,” said Robson. “She played a blinder of a tiebreak, gave nothing away. “Everything that has happened this year – especially the Roland Garros final, where she mentally let herself down in that match [against Coco Gauff] – it has been something that everyone has reminded her of since then. “Under pressure today, everything on the line, and with the crowd against you, she barely put a foot wrong in that breaker. “That’s the mentality we’ve come to know from Sabalenka, and we saw it in the semi-final as well.”

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Robson also voiced sympathy for Anisimova after the loss. “It’s so tough when you see someone breaking down at the same time as someone celebrating,” added Robson. “I’m just in front of Anisimova’s box right now, and they just look so disappointed for her. “They’re trying to get her attention and give her some support but there’s a lot of dejected looks on their faces. “You thought the tide was maybe turning in that second set, Anisimova had more chances as the match went on – which considering how things were going half an hour in, we didn’t expect. “Anisimova has to give herself so much credit for getting stuck in and trying everything.”

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