500 WTA WTA Finals
Rybakina’s late push makes her the likeliest bubble pick for Riyadh
Rybakina chases a Riyadh spot after late momentum; Paolini holds a slim edge after Wuhan. Tight race
With the final month of the 2025 season approaching, analysts are parsing the crowded WTA Finals race and weighing which players on the bubble have the best chance to reach Riyadh. The duel for the final spots has been narrow, and two recent weeks of results have swung the balance between Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini.
Rybakina collected a couple of good wins this week and began the Wuhan quarterfinal with a slight edge in points over Paolini, but she fell behind after losing to Aryna Sabalenka. She remains active in the run-in and is entered in the WTA 500 event in Ningbo this week, which gives her an immediate opportunity to cut into the gap. Rybakina currently trails Paolini by just over 200 points.
“I’m looking for Elena Rybakina to finish strong and qualify. With that huge weapon of a serve and the easy points she gets because of it, it doesn’t take a lot for her to get on a roll.”
Paolini, meanwhile, has seized the temporary advantage. She leapfrogged Rybakina for the final Riyadh spot after stunning Iga Swiatek in Wuhan and has shown resilience; she has lost to the eventual champion in two of her last three events. Those results underline the grit and level that have put her in position to reach the WTA Finals for a second straight year.
Rybakina’s form has steadied since her coaching situation was resolved. The contrast with this time last year is notable: she took a break from the tour then, and this season she carries a different energy. Her summer hardcourt swing produced three consecutive semifinals in D.C., Montréal, and Cincinnati, a sequence that reinforces the case for a late surge.
The race remains tight, but Rybakina’s combination of recent wins, an upcoming entry in Ningbo and a powerful serve make her the likeliest candidate among the bubble players to close the gap and claim a Riyadh berth.
500 ATP 250 Brisbane International
The Big T Podcast Episode 2: Danielle Collins Shines as Sabalenka Sets the Early Pace
Danielle Collins leads a lively podcast episode; Sabalenka dominates Brisbane and WTA quirks. Uncut.
Episode 2 of The Big T podcast combined listener questions, new segments and candid conversation. Danielle Collins made an in-studio debut alongside Coco Vandeweghe, and the panel tackled topics ranging from player pet peeves to the Australian Open’s one-point event.
On the court, world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka reminded everyone why she sits atop the rankings. The 27-year-old, four-time Grand Slam champion romped through the Brisbane draw, with no opponent pushing her past 6-4 in any set. The opening week also highlighted a scheduling quirk: all of the WTA’s Top 24 competed while four of the ATP’s Top 8 skipped the first week. Brad Gilbert, with Vandeweghe and Collins, offered a reason: “Most of the top women are much more active to start the year because you guys have 500 [level] tournaments.”
January’s calendar places Brisbane and Adelaide as WTA 500 events while the simultaneous ATP tournaments are at the 250 level. Later in the swing, Doha and Dubai are 1000 level for the women and 500 for the men, which gives the WTA more time in the spotlight early in the season.
Poland won the United Cup, but world No. 2 Iga Swiatek struggled, losing to Coco Gauff in straight sets and then to Belinda Bencic in three, 3-6, 6-0, 6-3. Vandeweghe noted the toll January competition can take: “Coming into January, you’re supposed to be refreshed… And you’re already mentally frazzled.”
The episode also discussed the Australian Open’s 1 Point Slam, where recreational players could win large sums for scoring a single point against a pro. “I think if you have a big serve,” advised Gilbert, “go for big serve on first and second.” Vandeweghe observed that the format could tighten pros, and several stars failed to land their lone serve in the box.
A new segment, High-Percentage Tennis, produced spirited debate, including questions about coaching and speculation about future matches. “Will Juan Carlos coach a woman? No chance, there’s zero chance,” said Vandeweghe. Collins replied, “I’m gonna call him right now, let’s see if he wants to work with Danielle Collins. You think he can handle me?”
New episodes drop every Wednesday.
500 Brisbane International Player News
Sabalenka repeats in Brisbane, dismisses Kostyuk 6-4, 6-3 to claim WTA 500 crown
Sabalenka beat Kostyuk 6-4, 6-3 for the Brisbane WTA 500, her 22nd title; 38-2 in Australia. AO run.
World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka captured the first title of her 2026 season with a straight-sets victory over Marta Kostyuk, 6-4, 6-3, to win the WTA 500 event in Brisbane. Sabalenka, who also won the tournament last year, did not lose a set all week and did not concede more than four games in any set en route to the trophy.
Kostyuk reached the final after an impressive run in which she took out three Top 10 players in a row—No. 3 Amanda Anisimova, No. 9 Mirra Andreeva and No. 6 Jessica Pegula—in straight sets. In the championship match the two traded early breaks, but Sabalenka broke again to close the first set, secured an early break in the second and held serve from there to finish the match.
The triumph in Brisbane is the 22nd WTA title of Sabalenka’s career and marks the fifth tournament she’s won multiple times, alongside the Australian Open and US Open (twice each) and Madrid and Wuhan (three times each). It also extended her recent supremacy in Australia: she has now won five of the last seven events she has played there and 38 of her last 40 matches in the country.
SABALENKA IN AUSTRALIA SINCE START OF 2023: 38-2. The only two defeats in that stretch were to Elena Rybakina in the 2024 Brisbane final and to Madison Keys in the 2025 Australian Open final.
After a planned week off from tournaments, Sabalenka will head to the Australian Open as the favorite for the title. The Brisbane victory reinforces her form and provides momentum as she prepares for the Grand Slam start to the season.
500 Brisbane International
Sabalenka Advances to Third Straight Brisbane Final with Straight-Set Win over Muchová
World No. 1 Sabalenka advanced to her third consecutive Brisbane final after beating Muchová today.
Top-ranked Aryna Sabalenka reached the Brisbane International final for the third consecutive year with a 6-3, 6-4 victory Saturday over Karolina Muchová.
Sabalenka closed out the semifinal at Pat Rafter Arena on her fourth match point, surviving a late surge from the Czech player and moving on to Sunday’s final against the winner of a later semifinal between fourth-seeded Jessica Pegula and Marta Kostyuk.
Earlier in the week, Sabalenka produced a rematch of last year’s Australian Open final, breaking Madison Keys in five straight service games on the way to a 6-3, 6-3 win on Friday. Last year at Melbourne Park, Keys beat Sabalenka for her first Grand Slam singles title.
Despite seeing three match points slip away amid Muchová’s late pressure, Sabalenka sealed the result when a Muchová shot sailed long. She finished the match with 32 winners and saved all four break points she faced.
“I always try to stay in the present,” Sabalenka said. “I worked really hard and each match against her is just another opportunity to get the win and I’m super happy that today was the day when I was able to get the win. She is such a great player and I always enjoy battles against her.”
The Brisbane International serves as a tuneup event for the Australian Open, which begins Jan. 18. Sabalenka will aim to carry the momentum from this semifinal into Sunday as she competes for her 13th WTA 500-level final.
-
ATPBergamo ChallengerChallenger 1002 months agoMaestrelli Triumphs in Bergamo, Claims Challenger Title and Career‑High Ranking
-
ATPLaver CupMasters2 months agoAlcaraz and Fritz Confirmed to Return for 2026 Laver Cup at The O2
-
Davis CupFinalsPlayer News2 months agoAlcaraz celebrates Spain’s Davis Cup comeback: “VAMOOOOOOOS!!!!”
