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500 WTA WTA Finals

Rybakina’s late push makes her the likeliest bubble pick for Riyadh

Rybakina chases a Riyadh spot after late momentum; Paolini holds a slim edge after Wuhan. Tight race

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With the final month of the 2025 season approaching, analysts are parsing the crowded WTA Finals race and weighing which players on the bubble have the best chance to reach Riyadh. The duel for the final spots has been narrow, and two recent weeks of results have swung the balance between Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini.

Rybakina collected a couple of good wins this week and began the Wuhan quarterfinal with a slight edge in points over Paolini, but she fell behind after losing to Aryna Sabalenka. She remains active in the run-in and is entered in the WTA 500 event in Ningbo this week, which gives her an immediate opportunity to cut into the gap. Rybakina currently trails Paolini by just over 200 points.

“I’m looking for Elena Rybakina to finish strong and qualify. With that huge weapon of a serve and the easy points she gets because of it, it doesn’t take a lot for her to get on a roll.”

Paolini, meanwhile, has seized the temporary advantage. She leapfrogged Rybakina for the final Riyadh spot after stunning Iga Swiatek in Wuhan and has shown resilience; she has lost to the eventual champion in two of her last three events. Those results underline the grit and level that have put her in position to reach the WTA Finals for a second straight year.

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Rybakina’s form has steadied since her coaching situation was resolved. The contrast with this time last year is notable: she took a break from the tour then, and this season she carries a different energy. Her summer hardcourt swing produced three consecutive semifinals in D.C., Montréal, and Cincinnati, a sequence that reinforces the case for a late surge.

The race remains tight, but Rybakina’s combination of recent wins, an upcoming entry in Ningbo and a powerful serve make her the likeliest candidate among the bubble players to close the gap and claim a Riyadh berth.

500 ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

Joao Fonseca wins Swiss Indoors Basel for first ATP 500 title at 19

Joao Fonseca, 19, beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win his first ATP 500 title in Basel. to No.28

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Joao Fonseca completed a breakthrough week at the Swiss Indoors Basel, defeating Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3, 6-4 to claim the first ATP 500 title of his career. The 19-year-old produced a composed performance in the final and secured the biggest trophy he has lifted to date.

The victory carries wider significance for Brazilian men’s tennis. It is the largest title won by a Brazilian man since Gustavo Kuerten captured the Masters 1000 event in Cincinnati in 2001. That milestone came just over five years before Fonseca was born.

Fonseca’s result in Basel will also have an immediate impact on his ATP position. He is projected to climb from No. 46 to No. 28 when the updated rankings are released on Monday. That jump shatters his previous career high of No. 42 and will mark his simultaneous debuts inside the Top 40 and Top 30.

At the ATP 500 level, titles carry both ranking reward and momentum. For Fonseca this win represents a clear step forward on the tour and a defining moment early in his professional career. The straight-sets scoreline in the final underlines the efficiency of his run through the tournament.

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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, the beaten finalist, was unable to overturn Fonseca’s advantage on the big points in the key games. Fonseca’s Basel success will be measured not only by the trophy but by the ranking move and the historical context: the most significant victory by a Brazilian man on the ATP tour in more than two decades.

The Swiss Indoors Basel title is now the standout achievement on Fonseca’s resume and a milestone that reshapes expectations for the 19-year-old in the weeks ahead.

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500 ATP Vienna

Sinner notches 50th Top 10 win, advances to Vienna final with straight-sets victory

Sinner reached the Vienna final, notched his 50th Top 10 win and extended his indoor streak. (20-0).

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Jannik Sinner advanced to the Vienna final with a straight-sets victory over No. 7 Alex de Minaur, prevailing 6-3, 6-4 in the ATP 500 semifinals on Saturday. The 24-year-old Italian added several milestones to an already remarkable season.

The win qualified Sinner for his eighth final of the year. Having reached eight finals last year as well, he became the first man to record eight or more finals in consecutive seasons since Novak Djokovic did so in 2015 and 2016. The result also extended Sinner’s dominance on indoor hard courts; it was his 20th consecutive indoor hard-court victory, a run that places him among an elite group in the Open Era alongside John McEnroe, Ivan Lendl, Stefan Edberg, Pete Sampras, Roger Federer, Novak Djokovic and most recently Andy Murray between 2016 and 2019.

Saturday brought Sinner an even larger achievement. His win over de Minaur marked the 50th Top 10 victory of his career. Born in 2001, Sinner is the first man born in the 2000s, and the first born in 1998 or later, to reach 50 Top 10 wins. The match underlined his consistency against the upper echelon of the sport: Sinner has now won his last 20 matches in a row against Top 10 opponents other than Carlos Alcaraz, a streak that dates back to last summer. He is also a perfect 12-0 against de Minaur regardless of ranking.

Sinner will attempt to add to his Top 10 total in the final, aiming for his 51st such victory the day after recording this milestone. The Vienna result consolidates a season in which he has regularly reached the latter stages of big events and continued to build significant career landmarks.

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500 ATP Vienna

Bublik’s Postmatch Banter Again Steals the Show After Vienna Loss

Bublik lost 6-4, 6-4 to Jannik Sinner in Vienna and, as usual, turned the net into his stage. again.

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Alexander Bublik lost a tight quarterfinal at the Erste Bank Open, falling 6-4, 6-4 to top seed Jannik Sinner. As has become routine, Bublik used the net as a stage after the match, attempting to turn a customary handshake into a moment of levity. Fans will often say, “I’m just here for the handshake,” and on Friday Bublik nearly lived up to that expectation.

Bublik quickly sought to exchange his racquet for an imagined microphone, leaving Sinner smiling and the umpire chuckling at what the draft called the Kazah’s presumed zingers. Without amplification, those remarks were heard only by Sinner and those close at court.

The Vienna exchange fit a pattern that dates to their second meeting at the 2021 Miami Open, when a 19-year-old Sinner was on the way to his first Masters 1000 final and Bublik offered unabashed praise. At that handshake Bublik said, “You’re not human,” and, “You’re 15 years old and you play like this? Good job!”

Bublik’s compliments have continued as their rivalry developed. After their 2025 US Open fourth-round clash he declared Sinner was “like an AI-generated player.” The comment plays off Bublik’s lighthearted framing of Sinner’s precision and consistency.

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On court, the rivalry is still defined by Sinner’s advantage; Sinner leads their head-to-head 6-2. Off court, Bublik’s postmatch ritual remains intact. He has also twice claimed to have solved the so-called AI puzzle, including a win earlier this year at the Terra Wortmann Open in Halle. Despite the scoreboard, the No. 16-ranked Bublik remains undefeated at the net in terms of showmanship, continuing to make the handshake a memorable part of their meetings.

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