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500 WTA WTA Finals

Rybakina’s late push makes her the likeliest bubble pick for Riyadh

Rybakina chases a Riyadh spot after late momentum; Paolini holds a slim edge after Wuhan. Tight race

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With the final month of the 2025 season approaching, analysts are parsing the crowded WTA Finals race and weighing which players on the bubble have the best chance to reach Riyadh. The duel for the final spots has been narrow, and two recent weeks of results have swung the balance between Elena Rybakina and Jasmine Paolini.

Rybakina collected a couple of good wins this week and began the Wuhan quarterfinal with a slight edge in points over Paolini, but she fell behind after losing to Aryna Sabalenka. She remains active in the run-in and is entered in the WTA 500 event in Ningbo this week, which gives her an immediate opportunity to cut into the gap. Rybakina currently trails Paolini by just over 200 points.

“I’m looking for Elena Rybakina to finish strong and qualify. With that huge weapon of a serve and the easy points she gets because of it, it doesn’t take a lot for her to get on a roll.”

Paolini, meanwhile, has seized the temporary advantage. She leapfrogged Rybakina for the final Riyadh spot after stunning Iga Swiatek in Wuhan and has shown resilience; she has lost to the eventual champion in two of her last three events. Those results underline the grit and level that have put her in position to reach the WTA Finals for a second straight year.

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Rybakina’s form has steadied since her coaching situation was resolved. The contrast with this time last year is notable: she took a break from the tour then, and this season she carries a different energy. Her summer hardcourt swing produced three consecutive semifinals in D.C., Montréal, and Cincinnati, a sequence that reinforces the case for a late surge.

The race remains tight, but Rybakina’s combination of recent wins, an upcoming entry in Ningbo and a powerful serve make her the likeliest candidate among the bubble players to close the gap and claim a Riyadh berth.

500

Muchova ends 0-6 run vs Gauff to reach Porsche Tennis Grand Prix semifinals

Muchova ends 0-6 run vs Gauff, winning 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 on Center Court, to reach Stuttgart semifinals.

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Karolina Muchova recorded her first victory over Coco Gauff in seven meetings, outlasting the No. 2 seed 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 to reach the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix semifinals.

The seventh-seeded Czech had been 0-6 against Gauff and had taken only one set from her previously, most recently losing 6-1, 6-1 last month in Miami. Muchova withstood a second-set recovery from Gauff and regained control in the decider to close the match in two hours and 24 minutes on Center Court.

Gauff arrived in Stuttgart in strong spring form, having reached her first final at Hard Rock Stadium and pushing world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka to three sets there. She opened her Stuttgart campaign with a straightforward win over Liudmila Samsonova on Thursday but struggled for consistency early against Muchova, committing 16 forehand unforced errors in the first set.

Without a first-round bye, Muchova was playing her third match of the week after surviving a three-setter against Elise Mertens in the round of 16. The former Roland Garros finalist has also posted solid results in 2026, capturing her first WTA 1000 title at the Qatar TotalEnergies Open in February.

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After claiming the opening set, Muchova briefly saw the momentum shift as Gauff served out the second. In the final set Muchova tightened her game, earned the decisive break in the sixth game, saved three break points to consolidate that advantage and ultimately served out the victory, closing to 15.

The win sends Muchova into the semifinals of the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix and gives her a breakthrough result against a player who had dominated their previous encounters.

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500 French Open Madrid Open

Swiatek, Roig begin partnership after Mallorca spark and a confident Stuttgart start

Swiatek starts with Francisco Roig after Mallorca training and a ‘crazy boost of motivation’ now on.

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Francisco Roig and Iga Swiatek took a first step together in Stuttgart, a debut that felt constructive if not yet fully synchronised. In the second set of her opening match she bulldozed a backhand winner down the line; Roig, talking with a member of her player box, noticed Swiatek watching from her seat and offered a quick thumbs up. That small exchange captured the tone of the day: a workmanlike victory and room to refine the relationship.

Swiatek beat Laura Siegemund 6-2, 6-3, overcoming a tricky opponent playing in front of home fans. It was a low-drama win, but also a reminder of areas to fix. She double-faulted seven times in the match, a serve issue that Roig and Swiatek will surely address.

The pairing follows a difficult stretch for the Pole. Her ranking has fallen from No. 2 to No. 4 this season, despite having spent 122 weeks at No. 1. She has not yet won an individual title in 2026 and, after a shock loss to 56th-ranked countrywoman Magda Linette in Miami, Swiatek decided to part ways with Wim Fissette.

Swiatek then sought a clay-focused reset at Rafael Nadal’s academy in Mallorca, a stay she described as intense. “I don’t think I ever spent so much time on court as I did in Mallorca,” she said on Wednesday. “A week full of grind.” She called the experience inspiring: “With Rafa it was a really inspiring time. Having him on the court was an extra crazy boost of motivation. He has that energy. Having him on court you want to show him the same kind of vibe.”

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She left Mallorca having added Roig, one of Nadal’s long-time coaches. “I haven’t changed coaches often in my career, but I feel excited,” she says. “I was basically looking for someone with a good eye, really technical, but also a person that is experienced enough to help me through some different kind of situations.” Swiatek also emphasised openness to the new methods: “I think you need to be really open minded, and soak in this new approach. I feel like with Francisco, we have a similar view as far as how I should play.”

With Roig in her corner, Swiatek is looking to capture her first clay-court title since 2024 Roland Garros. Match one was encouraging; the real test will be whether the new pairing can convert that inspiration into results across the clay swing.

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500 Linz

Vintage one-handed backhand lifts Lilli Tagger into the WTA Top 100

Austrian Lilli Tagger, 18, became the first 2008-born player to break into the Top 100. in Linz WTA.

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Most of the attention in the new rankings was on the men’s No. 1 changing hands, with Jannik Sinner reclaiming the top spot from Carlos Alcaraz after Monte Carlo. On the WTA side, however, an eye-catching arrival in the Top 100 deserves notice. Austrian teenager Lilli Tagger moved from No. 117 to No. 97 after advancing to her first WTA 500 quarterfinal on home soil in Linz.

Tagger, who just turned 18 in February, is the first player born in 2008 to reach the Top 100 on either the WTA or ATP rankings. Her playing style stands out: she uses a one-handed backhand, a rare stroke among the women’s tour and particularly unusual for a rising teenager.

That classic technique is reinforced by her coaching: she is currently being coached by Francesca Schiavone, the last woman with a one-handed backhand to win a Grand Slam title.

Her results to date underline the promise. Last June she captured the junior title at Roland Garros as an unseeded player, defeating four seeded opponents in six matches, including the No. 1 and No. 3 seeds, and she did so without dropping a set. In her very first WTA main draw last fall she reached her first WTA final as a No. 235-ranked wild card, finishing runner-up to Anna Blinkova.

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At Linz she recorded the biggest win of her career by beating No. 21-ranked Liudmila Samsonova on the way to the WTA 500 quarterfinal.

Tagger also alters the look of the Top 100 with her backhand: she is now one of four women in the Top 100 who use a one-handed backhand, alongside Tatjana Maria (No. 63), Viktorija Golubic (No. 81) and Diane Parry (No. 100). Her rapid rise and distinctive technique make her one to watch as she establishes herself on the senior tour.

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