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Five editorial scenarios for the WTA Finals: who could lift the trophy in Riyadh

Five editors’ scenarios for the WTA Finals highlight Sabalenka, Gauff, Anisimova and two dark horses

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Editors offered five distinct scenarios for the season-ending WTA Finals, each built on the players’ recent form and rivalries.

Aryna Sabalenka is the clear focal point. She has been No. 1 for a year but has also dropped a number of big matches during that time. Sabalenka has appeared in one WTA Finals final, in 2022, which she lost to Caroline Garcia. She arrives having played just five matches since winning the US Open on September 6, a factor that raises questions about match sharpness. Sabalenka is placed in a group with Coco Gauff, Jessica Pegula and Jasmine Paolini; a title here would cement her year-end No. 1 standing, while anything less would leave doubts into 2026.

Coco Gauff remains a major contender. Gauff is the defending champion and recorded a 9-1 mark in October, including eight straight-set wins. Her late-season rhythm and willingness to tinker with her game were cited as reasons she could repeat.

Jasmine Paolini was highlighted as an underestimated threat. The narrative notes she returned after a breakthrough 2024 and built on it in 2025, beating Coco Gauff in Rome and delivering a decisive win over Iga Swiatek in Wuhan. Those wins raise the possibility she could advance out of the group stage.

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Elena Rybakina is described as the wild card. She carried a six-match win streak into the Finals and captured a title in Ningbo to secure the last spot in the field. Rybakina has not advanced past the Round of 16 at any major this year, but the indoor conditions suit her clean, powerful game.

Amanda Anisimova was presented as a dark-horse champion pick. Her Beijing run included a victory over Gauff in the semifinals; “Anisimova’s win in Beijing (in her last appearance before these finals) included a rout of Gauff, which will give the Roland Garros champion plenty to think about should they meet.” Iga Swiatek and others were also mentioned among the ones to watch across different editorial scenarios.

1000 Finals Italian Open

Svitolina Wins Rome: A Third Italian Open Crown and a Major Milestone

Svitolina won Rome, her biggest title since returning as a mother, and notched her 50th Top 10 win.

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Elina Svitolina captured the WTA 1000 title in Rome, defeating Coco Gauff 6-4, 6-7 (3), 6-2 to claim the biggest trophy of her return as a mother. The victory in the final completed a run that saw Svitolina beat three of the Top 4 players in successive rounds: No. 2 Elena Rybakina in the quarterfinals and No. 3 Iga Swiatek in the semifinals, before overcoming the world No. 4 in the championship match.

Svitolina, the current No. 10, produced a gritty performance in the final. Gauff led 4-2 in the opening set and held break points for 5-2, but Svitolina closed out the set with four straight games. The second set featured 10 consecutive holds before Gauff briefly took a 6-5 lead; Svitolina broke back and the pair reached a tiebreak, which Gauff won after rallying from 3-2 down. In the decider, following three holds to open the set, Svitolina ran off five games in a row to take control and sealed the match with a reflex volley into the open court after two hours and 49 minutes.

This is Svitolina’s third Rome title, adding to her wins in 2017 and 2018, and her fifth WTA 1000 title overall, joining Dubai and Toronto from 2017. Since returning to the tour as a mom in 2023, she had previously won three WTA 250 events: Strasbourg in 2023, Rouen in 2025 and Auckland earlier this year. The Rome victory also marked a milestone 50th Top 10 win for her career. Her record in WTA finals now stands at 20-5.

The Rome trophy is the most significant title won by a mother on tour since Victoria Azarenka’s WTA 1000 victory in Cincinnati in 2020.

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Finals Italian Open Media

Coco Gauff urges simpler, incremental scoring after Rome semifinal

Coco Gauff backs incremental scoring, saying 40 should be 45 to make games easier to explain to all.

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World No. 4 Coco Gauff, speaking after her semifinal win over Sorana Cirstea in Rome and ahead of Saturday’s Rome final, said she is open to simplifying tennis scoring. She acknowledged what makes the sport distinctive, noting “literally it’s not over until it’s over” when players must reach and then close out match point.

That said, Gauff singled out the traditional game-score sequence as confusing and in need of change. “The way the games are 15-Love, 30-Love. That doesn’t make any sense to me. It’s so hard to explain that to people,” she told press. “It’s 15, 30, but it goes to 40. Why?

“I don’t know, 1-0, 1-All situation. At least make it incrementally. It should be 45, not 40.”

The suggestion revived a long-standing historical curiosity. Records note that 45 was initially in place during the 1400s, though the shift to 40 lacks a verifiable explanation. The uncertain origins have prompted scholars to offer theories without firm proof.

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Elizabeth Wilson, author of Love Game: A History of Tennis, from Victorian Pastime to Global Phenomenon, put the uncertainty plainly: “I don’t think anybody really knows how it started or why it developed how it did. There are various theories, all sorts of romantic theories have been built up about it. That’s partly what makes tennis into a kind of romantic game, because it had all this history that isn’t really history.”

Gauff’s remarks underline a wider conversation about modernizing aspects of the sport while preserving what many consider its unique drama. Her proposal to make scoring strictly incremental is simple in concept and intended to make the games easier to explain to newcomers and casual fans.

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1000 Finals Italian Open

Svitolina Outlasts Swiatek in Three Sets to Reach Rome Final

Svitolina defeated Swiatek 6-4, 2-6, 6-2 to reach the Rome final, where she will play Coco Gauff Sat

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Elina Svitolina reached the Internazionali BNL d’Italia final with a hard-fought 6-4, 2-6, 6-2 semifinal win over Iga Swiatek. The two-time Foro Italico champion, victorious at the venue in 2017 and 2018, held firm after a second-set surge from the former world No. 1.

Svitolina had come into the match having survived a two-hour, 24-minute quarterfinal against Elena Rybakina the previous day. Her victory in Rome means she has now beaten the world No. 2 and the world No. 3 in back-to-back matches at the event.

“It’s amazing, the feeling is just unreal,” Svitolina said in an on-court interview. “After so many years, (to be) here again in the final is such an amazing feeling. And to do it in such a great way!”

The first set was narrowly decided, with Swiatek striking just seven winners against 24 unforced errors. Svitolina managed five winners and 12 unforced errors and benefited from the Pole dropping serve three times in the opener. Swiatek regrouped in the second set, opening 3-0 with a double break and raising her first-serve percentage from 52 percent in the first set to 81 percent in the second.

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Svitolina’s defence carried her through the decider. She saved three break points in the opening game and then broke Swiatek to move ahead 3-0, a lead the Pole could not overturn.

The result leaves Swiatek without a title in 2026 and without a red-clay final this season ahead of Roland Garros. For Svitolina, the win sends her into her third final of 2026 and her second at the WTA 1000 level. She began the season by winning Auckland and was later runner-up in Dubai, where she lost to Jessica Pegula in the final.

Awaiting Svitolina on Saturday is world No. 4 Coco Gauff, who defeated No. 26 seed Sorana Cirstea 6-4, 6-3 to reach the final.

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