1000 BNP Paribas Open BNP Paribas Open WTA
Sabalenka vs. Mboko: Match Preview, Start Time and Prediction
Mboko pushed Sabalenka in Melbourne and arrives at the BNP Paribas Open after a Doha final. Read on.
Start Time: TBD on Thursday, March 11 (check back for updates)
The rematch between Aryna Sabalenka and 19-year-old Victoria Mboko arrives with clear storyline: an established power player against an emerging counter-puncher who has learned quickly since their first meeting. In Melbourne, Sabalenka took control early, bullying Mboko through a 6-1 opening set, but the Canadian adjusted and pushed the second set to a tiebreak.
Mboko has carried that progress into the weeks that followed. In the two months since Australia she reached a 1000 final in Doha and climbed from No. 18 to No. 10. She says she can’t quite believe she’s in the Top 10 already, but she’s playing like she belongs. On Tuesday night she defended that form by dispatching Amanda Anisimova in two quick sets.
Sabalenka, meanwhile, showed sharp baseline command in her most recent match, overpowering Naomi Osaka in two impressive sets on Tuesday. Her ability to dictate from the backcourt and finish points remains the central challenge for Mboko.
Mboko’s strengths are clear: speed and counter-punching power that can trouble heavy hitters. Her willingness to adapt after the Australian Open and her run in Doha suggest she will not be intimidated. Still, Sabalenka’s combination of aggression and ball-striking typically forces opponents into errors and limits the time they have to impose their game.
This promises to be a competitive quarterfinal at the BNP Paribas Open, with Mboko likely to extend rallies and test Sabalenka’s patience. Ultimately, experience and the ability to close points favor the top seed. I’ll say it will take her another lesson from the WTA’s best before she’s ready to beat her. Winner: Sabalenka
All eight singles quarterfinals at the BNP Paribas Open take place Thursday, March 11.
1000 Madrid Open
Andreeva withstands collapse, sideline odor incident to reach Madrid Open quarterfinals
Andreeva recovered from a fifth-game collapse to beat Anna Bondar and reach Madrid quarterfinals. .
Mirra Andreeva advanced to her third consecutive Mutua Madrid Open quarterfinal after a nearly three-hour match that swung repeatedly in momentum. The No. 9 seed recovered from a late collapse to defeat Anna Bondar 6-7 (5), 6-3, 7-6 (5), completing a run in which she has beaten Hungary’s top-three ranked players in succession following wins over Panna Udvardy and Dalma Galfi.
The contest on Court 3 produced one of the day’s more unusual exchanges. Serving at 2-2, 40-40 in the second set, Andreeva approached chair umpire Jennifer Zhang to complain of an odor behind her end of the court. “It literally smells like bullshit over there. Like very bad,” she said. Andreeva then pushed ahead, winning nine of the next 11 games and improving her season record on clay to 10-1.
Momentum shifted again as Andreeva dropped five straight games, a sequence that included a missed match point on Bondar’s serve at 5-3 in the third. Needing to hold serve to force a tie-break, she took a seat and confided in her team, “I’m not a champion. I’m not a champion,” in raising her hand with a no. “I’m going to lose. I’m going to lose.”
Despite the visible doubt, Andreeva steadied herself. The next seven points went her way, and she changed ends in the decisive tie-break with a 4-2 lead. Bondar fought back, erasing the mini break with a backhand winner and again at 4-6 when Andreeva poorly cut a backhand drop shot. On her third match point, Andreeva finished the match by attacking Bondar’s second serve and producing a clean backhand return winner up the line.
Tears followed the handshake, more relief than celebration after a draining encounter that combined on-court disruption, a dramatic swing in form, and a narrow finish that keeps Andreeva moving through the Madrid draw.
1000 Madrid Open
Sabalenka rallies from a set and a break to beat Osaka and reach Madrid quarters
Sabalenka came back from a set and a break to beat Osaka and reach the Madrid quarterfinals (150th).
Aryna Sabalenka battled back from a set and a break to defeat Naomi Osaka 6-7 (1), 6-3, 6-2 and reach the Mutua Madrid Open quarterfinals. The defending champion and world No. 1 recovered after a tense opening to claim her 150th WTA 1000 match victory in two hours and 20 minutes on Manolo Santana Stadium.
“That was an incredible level,” Sabalenka said on court. “She played really incredible tennis. I feel like I just got lucky with a couple shots in the third set and that’s why it went that fast. But overall, it was really an incredible fight. I had to level up my game and I’m happy with the performance.”
Sabalenka, who was making her first tournament appearance since completing the Sunshine Double in March and becoming the fifth different woman to win both Indian Wells and Miami in the same year, had been efficient through earlier rounds, beating Peyton Stearns and No. 29 seed Jaqueline Cristian. A three-time champion in Madrid, she was tested by Osaka, who had advanced with straight-sets wins over Camila Osorio and Anhelina Kalinina to set up a rematch of a meeting Sabalenka won in straight sets last month at the BNP Paribas Open.
Osaka arrived inside the Top 20 after returning from maternity leave and remains a four-time Grand Slam champion. Her clay results have been limited, with just two WTA 1000 quarterfinals both in 2019, and she had been 0-6 versus Top 10 opponents on clay coming into the match.
Neither player ceded a break through the first 12 games. Sabalenka, noted for strong tiebreak form last season, surrendered the opening Sudden Death tiebreak after Osaka won the first five points. Sabalenka then reversed a 40-0 deficit at 4-3 to break, won eight points in a row to create triple set point and converted the second with an ace to force a decider.
Osaka saved four early break points in the third, but errors mounted and Sabalenka secured the crucial break. With momentum in her favour Sabalenka reached three match points and closed out the victory, ending the contest with a practically even 31 winners to 33 unforced errors.
1000 ATP Madrid Open
Sinner’s Masters 1000 Streak Reaches 24 After Straight-sets Win in Madrid
Jannik Sinner extended his Masters 1000 streak to 24 with a 6-2, 6-3 third-round win over Moller. .
Jannik Sinner extended his remarkable run at Masters 1000 events to 24 consecutive victories with a 6-2, 6-3 triumph over Danish qualifier Elmer Moller in the third round of the Mutua Madrid Open on Sunday. The Italian’s win continued a sequence that has reshaped this season’s discussion of dominance at the highest non-Grand Slam level.
Sinner is now only the third man in the Open era of Masters 1000 competition, which began in 1990, to amass 24 or more straight wins at these events. Roger Federer previously completed such a run once, and Novak Djokovic achieved it twice. That places Sinner in an exclusive group of players who have produced extended periods of supremacy at the Masters 1000 tier.
The current streak has yielded four successive Masters 1000 titles for Sinner. His run includes the Paris title from last year followed by victories at Indian Wells, Miami and Monte Carlo so far this year. Those results underline the consistency behind the streak, demonstrating success across different surfaces and conditions within the elite Masters 1000 calendar.
Sunday’s victory over Moller was efficient and decisive, another chapter in a sequence that now stretches across multiple tournaments and seasons. With the Madrid win, Sinner remains on course through the middle of the 2026 Masters swing, carrying both momentum and the statistical weight of an extended winning streak that ranks alongside some of the most sustained runs in Masters 1000 history.
As the Mutua Madrid Open progresses, Sinner’s streak is likely to be a focal point, both for opponents preparing to face him and for observers tracking how long this exceptional sequence can continue at the sport’s highest regular tour level.
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