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ATP BNP Paribas Open Masters

Alcaraz vs Norrie: Tactical Rematch at Indian Wells

Norrie has beaten Alcaraz before; Indian Wells match should be close, but Alcaraz is favored. Again.

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Start Time: Not before 10:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 11

This Indian Wells meeting is a sharp replay of a recent rivalry. Cam Norrie arrives having handed Carlos Alcaraz one of his nine losses of 2025 and, with that win, “improved his record to 3-5 against the Spaniard.” The matchup pits a left-handed, counterpunching Brit against the world No. 1, and history suggests Norrie can make Alcaraz work.

“There’s no secrets,” Norrie said when he was asked how he had beaten Alcaraz last fall in Paris. “I think I had to play well for over two hours, more than that. I had to keep pushing.” That description captures the formula Norrie has used: sustain long rallies, apply pressure and force small errors from an opponent who thrives on dictating play.

Norrie’s traits play into that plan. Being a lefty alters the angles Alcaraz faces and limits some of the Spaniard’s forehand options. Norrie is quick, steady from the baseline, and possesses a compact backhand and reliable touch at the net. He has shown an ability to prolong points and frustrate even the most aggressive opponents.

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“I was able to take the tennis to kind of the way I like to play it, playing long points,” he said after his Paris win. Indian Wells’ courts should allow Norrie to try similar tactics: extend rallies, test Alcaraz’s patience and look for openings.

They previously met in the desert in 2022, a match Alcaraz won 6-4, 6-3. This rematch could be tighter, and Norrie is well-equipped to press. Still, overcoming the world No. 1 will likely require even more than he has produced so far. Prediction: Winner: Alcaraz

ATP Madrid Open Masters

Sinner urges scheduling changes after Jodar’s late-night finish as he advances in Madrid

Sinner urges scheduling changes after Jodar’s near-1 a.m. finish; wins to reach Madrid quarterfinal.

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Jannik Sinner used his postmatch moment to press for adjustments to tournament scheduling after moving into the quarterfinals at the Mutua Madrid Open. The world No. 1 advanced in straight sets Tuesday, beating No. 19 seed Cameron Norrie 6-2, 7-5 for his 25th consecutive Masters 1000 victory.

Sinner singled out the timing of a potential opponent’s previous match, referring to Rafael Jodar’s near-1 a.m. finish Monday against Joao Fonseca and the recovery implications that follow. “I feel like we need to make some adjustments to the scheduling of the day,” Sinner said. “The matches end very late even though they have one day between. It’s still very, very late to finish at 1:30. You need to eat and have treatment, so that’s very late. We try to adapt ourselves, our bodies and minds.”

Tournament officials had moved Jodar’s earlier match to 4 p.m. to provide maximum recovery time after the late-night win over Fonseca, a match that took just over two hours. That decision produced a rare 11 a.m. start for Sinner on Tuesday. “I don’t know the last time I played at 11, but for me, it doesn’t matter what time,” Sinner said during his on-court interview. “I try to do my best. There was a question whether me or Jodar plays at 4. I think it’s right that he plays at 4 because he finished very, very late.”

Sinner also praised the teenage Jodar’s play this week, noting the Spaniard’s recent form after winning his first ATP title in Marrakech and then taking a wild card into Madrid, where he upset No. 5 seed Alex de Minaur in straight sets en route to a career-best Masters 1000 result. “He’s a very, very talented player,” Sinner said. “Jodar is a very, very clean hitter, very easy power. You can hear with the sound, you know, when he touches it, and it’s a good sound coming from the racquet. He’s very, very talented. He’s going to be a great, great player in the future, and he’s already showing. I like the mentality, it’s quite calm. I don’t know him personally, but he seems very humble. So, yeah, he’s a very, very good player, and I wish him only the best.”

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On court after his win over Norrie, Sinner reflected on the playing conditions and his progress. “This surface is very, very different from all the other surfaces, so it’s tough to get the right feedback,” Sinner said on court today. “Sometimes, you feel like you’re not playing your best, but from the outside it seems that you are. Sometimes, it’s the opposite. But I’m very happy to be in the quarters again, at a tournament I haven’t played a lot. It means a lot to me and I’m happy to be through in two sets.”

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ATP Madrid Open Masters

Madrid quarterfinal preview: Sinner’s streak, Sabalenka’s run and Jodar’s moment

Sinner’s streak, Sabalenka’s run and a rookie’s surge set the stage for Madrid quarterfinal intrigue

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The Madrid quarterfinals present contrasting storylines across the men’s and women’s draws. On paper, the headline matchup looks straightforward, but each match carries its own shades of risk.

Sinner and Norrie will meet for the first time despite eight years on tour together. Sinner is No. 1 and arrives with 19 straight wins and three consecutive titles. Norrie is No. 23 and 14-9 for the year; his last tournament victory came in 2023. Sinner is described as having the stronger serve, forehand and backhand and is six years younger. Norrie, however, has climbed from the mid-80s in the rankings as of last July, owns five career titles with two on clay and is a stubborn, pesky competitor known for his speed, effort and fist pumps. His craft has troubled top players before, notably Carlos Alcaraz. Against Sinner he will be forced to scramble on return, extend rallies and fight for every point. Winner: Sinner

On the women’s side, Baptiste, 24, has steadily pushed into the higher echelons, reaching a career-high No. 32 and turning big-match opportunities into results. In Miami she beat Svitolina and Ostapenko before losing to Sabalenka in the quarterfinals. In Madrid she has already beaten Paolini and Bencic to reach another quarterfinal against the world No. 1. Their Miami meeting was a 6-4, 6-4 win for Sabalenka. Baptiste possesses an equally heavy serve and forehand, can produce flat backhand winners and may offer superior transition and front-court play. In that previous encounter she was, in the crunch, a touch less confident and a bit more error-prone than Sabalenka. The top seed comes in on a 15-match winning streak. Winner: Sabalenka

This feels like a trap match for Rafael Jodar, a 19-year-old rookie thriving in front of his home crowds after victories over No. 5 seed Alex De Minaur and No. 27 seed Joao Fonseca. A win would likely set up a blockbuster with Sinner. Standing in his way is Vit Kopriva, a 66th-ranked, 28-year-old grinder described as a tennis lifer. At 5’10” and 152 pounds, Kopriva favors clay, likes rallies and creates from the baseline. Earlier this year he reached the semifinals at the 500 in Rio and earlier this week he knocked out 2024 Madrid champion Andrey Rublev.

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ATP Grand Slam Masters

Alcaraz Loses 3,000 Points but Is Secure at No. 2 Through Clay Season

Alcaraz will lose 3,000 ranking points after skipping Rome and Roland Garros yet will keep No. 2 now

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Carlos Alcaraz confirmed he will miss both the Rome Masters and Roland Garros because of a right wrist injury, tournaments he won last year. By skipping those title defenses he will surrender 3,000 ranking points in total — 1,000 from Rome and 2,000 from Roland Garros — reducing his current total from 12,960 to 9,960 by the end of the clay-court season.

Despite that drop, Alcaraz cannot be overtaken for the No. 2 position through the conclusion of the clay swing. Alexander Zverev, the current No. 3 with 5,255 points, can come closest but would still fall short. If Zverev were to win back-to-back Masters 1000 titles in Madrid and Rome, capture the ATP 500 event in Hamburg the week after (where he is entered) and claim his first Grand Slam at Roland Garros, he would finish the clay-court season with 8,955 points. That projection already factors in the points he is defending during this stretch, including quarterfinal results at Rome and Roland Garros from last year.

At the top of the rankings, Jannik Sinner is assured of retaining No. 1 and has the potential to extend his advantage. Sitting on 13,350 points, Sinner could end the clay-court season anywhere between 11,500 and 15,400 points depending on his results. To land at the lower bound of that range he would need to lose his next match in Madrid and not play Rome or Roland Garros. To reach the upper bound he would need to win Madrid, Rome and Roland Garros.

Alcaraz’s absence reshuffles the mathematical possibilities on clay but does not change the order at the summit of the rankings through the clay-court season. The scenarios leave room for movement below the top two, but the No. 1 and No. 2 positions are locked for the remainder of the clay swing.

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