ATP BNP Paribas Open Masters
Sinner the Pick as Learner Tien’s Indian Wells Run Meets a Stiffer Test
Tien has dazzled at Indian Wells, but Sinner enters as the favorite after a tough build-up tonight.
Start Time: TBD on Thursday, March 11 (check back for updates)
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Learner Tien, just 20, has been playing like a seasoned competitor at Indian Wells. He is 4-0 in tiebreakers at the event and has out-dueled two more experienced opponents, Ben Shelton and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, in three-set matches. Against Davidovich Fokina he even saved a match point with an acutely-angled crosscourt slice forehand pass.
That string of results and the crowd support that has followed him at Indian Wells set the stage for a tough quarterfinal against the second seed, Jannik Sinner. Their only prior meeting came last fall in Beijing, where Sinner won 6-2, 6-2. Still, this is a different setting and Tien has clearly improved since then.
Tien’s serve, once a relative weakness, has climbed to as high as 125 MPH. He also carries more power behind swings that were already praised for their feel and intelligence. Those developments explain why he has extended matches against higher-ranked opponents and thrived in tight moments.
Sinner presents a contrasting challenge. The more pace and aggression opponents bring, the more Sinner tends to return. He arrives after a taxing match of his own, a two-tiebreaker test against Joao Fonseca, and the latest encounter suggests he is battle-ready.
On balance, Tien’s growth and the crowd’s energy make this a compelling matchup, but Sinner’s consistency under pressure and his recent form keep him the favorite to advance.
Winner: Sinner
ATP BNP Paribas Open Masters
Alcaraz vs Norrie: Tactical Rematch at Indian Wells
Norrie has beaten Alcaraz before; Indian Wells match should be close, but Alcaraz is favored. Again.
Start Time: Not before 10:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 11
This Indian Wells meeting is a sharp replay of a recent rivalry. Cam Norrie arrives having handed Carlos Alcaraz one of his nine losses of 2025 and, with that win, “improved his record to 3-5 against the Spaniard.” The matchup pits a left-handed, counterpunching Brit against the world No. 1, and history suggests Norrie can make Alcaraz work.
“There’s no secrets,” Norrie said when he was asked how he had beaten Alcaraz last fall in Paris. “I think I had to play well for over two hours, more than that. I had to keep pushing.” That description captures the formula Norrie has used: sustain long rallies, apply pressure and force small errors from an opponent who thrives on dictating play.
Norrie’s traits play into that plan. Being a lefty alters the angles Alcaraz faces and limits some of the Spaniard’s forehand options. Norrie is quick, steady from the baseline, and possesses a compact backhand and reliable touch at the net. He has shown an ability to prolong points and frustrate even the most aggressive opponents.
“I was able to take the tennis to kind of the way I like to play it, playing long points,” he said after his Paris win. Indian Wells’ courts should allow Norrie to try similar tactics: extend rallies, test Alcaraz’s patience and look for openings.
They previously met in the desert in 2022, a match Alcaraz won 6-4, 6-3. This rematch could be tighter, and Norrie is well-equipped to press. Still, overcoming the world No. 1 will likely require even more than he has produced so far. Prediction: Winner: Alcaraz
ATP BNP Paribas Open Masters
Medvedev criticizes Fergus Murphy’s rapid shot-clock starts amid time-violation debate
Medvedev joined Fritz and Alcaraz in criticizing Fergus Murphy’s quick starts of the shot clock…..
Daniil Medvedev added his voice to growing concern over how chair umpires start the shot-clock, saying Fergus Murphy has been especially quick to begin the countdown. Medvedev raised the issue after reaching the BNP Paribas Open quarterfinal on Wednesday and echoed criticisms voiced earlier by Taylor Fritz and others.
The debate reignited following a time violation called on Carlos Alcaraz at the Qatar ExxonMobil Open. Alcaraz reacted immediately after a long rally with Karen Khachanov, asking, “I’m not allowed to go to the towel?” The shot-clock is intended to limit players to 25 seconds between points, but the chair umpire decides precisely when the clock starts once a point ends. Marija Cicak drew Alcaraz’s ire in Doha, while Fritz and Medvedev singled out Ferguson Murphy for starting the clock particularly quickly.
“I always had an issue with specifically Fergus starting the clock super fast,” Fritz said earlier in the week. “And I’d never got called for time violations and no one ever got called for time violations against me, but then there was probably 10 in total in my matches when he was in the chair, and then it started just being automatic, like when the point ends, it just starts. It’s not really up to the umpire.”
Medvedev addressed the matter directly in his on-court comments:
Q. Do you think some umpires [use the shot clock] differently to others?
DANIIL MEDVEDEV: Yeah, I think so. I think Fergus gave me two or three times in my life a time violation and I always went nuts.
Because sometimes you play Rafa, you play, I don’t know, Sascha takes, Novak takes some time to prepare for serve. And of course you play them sometimes with a different umpire. But I would love to see Fergus — I cannot play Rafa anymore, but if he would make, like, 10 times time violation to Rafa, because you need to have some common sense sometimes, which maybe you should.
I think also what would work great is to advertise a player, meaning, you know, not give only me, everyone, you first advertise, meaning on the changeover, you say, look, there was one or two times you were getting really close, next time it’s going to be a time violation.
And not like Fergus gave me, I remember this in Vienna, I went absolutely nuts and lost the match because of it, on the tiebreak, where I played like crazy two points with Moutet, I didn’t even go for the towel, something, and he gave me time violation. And this I don’t accept still.
Yeah, I think there is a difference.
The dispute is not new: in 2024 Murphy issued a time violation against Stefanos Tsitsipas at the Rolex Shanghai Masters, prompting Tsitsipas to ask, “Why are you doing this to me, man?” Medvedev won that match in straight sets.
ATP BNP Paribas Open Masters
Zverev vs Arthur Fils: Quarterfinal preview at the BNP Paribas Open
Zverev and Fils meet for the sixth time; first clash of 2026 at the BNP Paribas Open. Preview Mar 11
Start Time: TBD on Thursday, March 11 (check back for updates)
This quarterfinal will be the seventh meeting between Alexander Zverev and Arthur Fils, a rivalry that has already produced six matches. Fils is 21 and has pushed the German across those earlier encounters. “Sascha, we know each other very good,” Fils says.
Zverev took the first two meetings, and the pair have split the last four. In Miami last year Fils defeated Zverev 6-4 in the third set, the most recent indicator of how tight their matches can be.
The pair meet for the first time in 2026, with each player carrying adjustments into the match. Zverev, typically more cautious, has publicly decided to play more aggressively this season even if that approach invites occasional losses. Fils has shortened his forehand backswing and says he is prepared to trade some power to gain a quicker stroke. “In my case, it’s OK,” Fils says.
Fils arrives having recovered from a dramatic moment earlier in the week. On Tuesday he rallied from 0-5 down in the second-set tiebreaker to beat ninth-ranked Felix Auger Aliassime. Zverev is fourth-ranked and will offer a stern test of whether Fils can sustain his heavy pace over an entire match.
Tactically this one could hinge on Zverev’s willingness to absorb and redirect pace. If he chooses to blunt Fils’s power rather than outgun him, Zverev may be able to control the match even without maximum aggression. The prediction here is that Zverev, in good form and adapting his game plan, will find a way through. Winner: Zverev
All eight singles quarterfinals at the BNP Paribas Open take place Thursday, March 11.
TBD (check back for updates)
TBD (check back for updates)
TBD (check back for updates)
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ATPAustralian OpenGrand Slam2 months agoMedvedev says he will not underestimate Learner Tien as their Australian Open rivalry resumes
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ATPAustralian OpenGrand Slam2 months agoAlcaraz extends flawless Grand Slam opening streak to 20-0 with straight-sets win
